塞尔维亚中部的传染病死亡率。
Infectious diseases mortality in central Serbia.
作者信息
Vlajinac H D, Marinković J M, Kocev N I, Adanja B J, Pekmezović T D, Sipetić S B, Jovanović D J
机构信息
Institute of Epidemiology, School of Medicine, Belgrade University, Yugoslovia.
出版信息
J Epidemiol Community Health. 1997 Apr;51(2):172-4. doi: 10.1136/jech.51.2.172.
STUDY OBJECTIVE
To determine the influence and the effect of the war in the former Yugoslavia and of the United Nations economic sanctions on mortality from infectious diseases.
DESIGN
This was a descriptive study analysing mortality data time series.
SETTING
Central Serbia, Yugoslavia.
PARTICIPANTS
The population of central Serbia was the subject of the study (about six million inhabitants).
MEASUREMENTS
Mortality rates were standardised directly, using the "European population" as the standard. Regression analysis and analysis of covariance were undertaken.
MAIN RESULTS
During the period 1973-93, mortality from infectious diseases showed a decreasing trend. From 1987-90, and infectious diseases was significantly higher than expected on the basis of the trend for the preceding period (p = 0.020 and p = 0.00). In addition, there was a statistically significant departure from the preceding trend (p = 0.036) in men between 1991 and 1993 (the period of the war and UN sanctions)--the main effect being in younger age groups.
CONCLUSION
The economic crisis in the former Yugoslavia during the 1980s followed by the outbreak of the war and the damaging effects of UN economic sanctions had a distinctly adverse effect on mortality from infectious diseases.
研究目的
确定前南斯拉夫战争及联合国经济制裁对传染病死亡率的影响和作用。
设计
这是一项分析死亡率数据时间序列的描述性研究。
地点
南斯拉夫塞尔维亚中部。
参与者
塞尔维亚中部人口为研究对象（约600万居民）。
测量方法
直接采用“欧洲人口”作为标准对死亡率进行标准化。进行回归分析和协方差分析。
主要结果
1973 - 1993年期间，传染病死亡率呈下降趋势。1987 - 1990年，传染病死亡率显著高于根据前一时期趋势预期的水平（p = 0.020和p = 0.00）。此外，1991年至1993年（战争和联合国制裁时期）男性的死亡率与前一趋势存在统计学上的显著差异（p = 0.036），主要影响年轻年龄组。
结论
20世纪80年代前南斯拉夫的经济危机，随后爆发的战争以及联合国经济制裁的破坏性影响对传染病死亡率产生了明显的不利影响。
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