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以色列奶牛场牛流产的流行病学

Epidemiology of bovine abortions in Israeli dairy herds.

作者信息

Markusfeld-Nir O

机构信息

Hachaklait, Mutual Society for Insurance and Veterinary Services in Israel, Nahariyya, Israel.

出版信息

Prev Vet Med. 1997 Aug;31(3-4):245-55. doi: 10.1016/s0167-5877(96)01142-7.

Abstract

Routine monitoring of abortions is carried out on most Israeli Kibbutz dairy herds. The reports include both descriptive epidemiology and multivariable analysis. Data are presented according to parity, trimester, abortion curves and sire. Results are produced in the form of abortions per 10000 cows-days-at risk, proportion of aborted cows by 260 days of gestation, abortion per confirmed pregnancy, and adjusted odds ratios. For 58048 pregnancies from 111 herds in 1995, the respective abortion density, proportion of aborted cows, and abortions per confirmed pregnancy were 4.2, 5.9%, and 10.2%. Among parities, heifers had the lowest, and cows of second parity the greatest risk of fetal death (respective odds ratios 0.6 and 1.3) compared to all other parities pooled together. The greatest risk of fetal death was observed in the first, and the lowest in the second trimesters of pregnancy (odds ratios 1.9 and 0.6, respectively). Recurrent risk ratio for abortion in the same lactation was high (odds ratio 2.7). Respective proportions of aborted cows with and without a previous abortion were 17.5% and 5.9%. Odds of aborting after twinning in multiparous cows was 1.3 greater than for those having a single calf. Risk of abortion in the autumn and early winter was greater than that in the summer months. Increased risks of abortion were associated with eight sires out of the 233 used (odds ratios of mates to abort ranged from 1.9 to 3.9). One, two and three peaks of abortions were established in 53.2%, 24.3%, and 0.9% of the 111 herds studied in 1995. None were detected in 21.6% of the herds.

摘要

以色列的大多数基布兹奶牛场都对流产情况进行常规监测。报告包括描述性流行病学和多变量分析。数据按胎次、孕期、流产曲线和父系呈现。结果以每10000头奶牛日风险的流产数、妊娠260天时流产奶牛的比例、每确诊妊娠的流产数以及调整后的比值比形式给出。1995年,来自111个牛群的58048次妊娠中,相应的流产密度、流产奶牛比例和每确诊妊娠的流产数分别为4.2、5.9%和10.2%。在各胎次中,与所有其他合并胎次相比,初产母牛胎儿死亡风险最低,第二胎次母牛风险最高(相应的比值比分别为0.6和1.3)。妊娠第一孕期胎儿死亡风险最高,第二孕期最低(比值比分别为1.9和0.6)。同一泌乳期内流产的复发风险比很高(比值比为2.7)。有过流产史和无流产史的流产奶牛比例分别为17.5%和5.9%。经产母牛双胎后流产的几率比单胎母牛高1.3倍。秋季和初冬的流产风险高于夏季。在使用的233头公牛中,有8头与流产风险增加有关(配偶流产的比值比在1.9至3.9之间)。在1995年研究的111个牛群中,53.2%、24.3%和0.9%的牛群分别出现了一、二和三个流产高峰。21.6%的牛群未检测到流产高峰。

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