Darby S, Whitley E, Silcocks P, Thakrar B, Green M, Lomas P, Miles J, Reeves G, Fearn T, Doll R
ICRF Cancer Epidemiology Unit, University of Oxford, Radcliffe Infirmary, UK.
Br J Cancer. 1998 Aug;78(3):394-408. doi: 10.1038/bjc.1998.506.
Studies of underground miners occupationally exposed to radon have consistently demonstrated an increased risk of lung cancer in both smokers and non-smokers. Radon exposure also occurs elsewhere, especially in houses, and estimates based on the findings for miners suggest that residential radon is responsible for about one in 20 lung cancers in the UK, most being caused in combination with smoking. These calculations depend, however, on several assumptions and more direct evidence on the magnitude of the risk is needed. To obtain such evidence, a case-control study was carried out in south-west England in which 982 subjects with lung cancer and 3185 control subjects were interviewed. In addition, radon concentrations were measured at the addresses at which subjects had lived during the 30-year period ending 5 years before the interview. Lung cancer risk was examined in relation to residential radon concentration after taking into account the length of time that subjects had lived at each address and adjusting for age, sex, smoking status, county of residence and social class. The relative risk of lung cancer increased by 0.08 (95% CI -0.03, 0.20) per 100 Bq m(-3) increase in the observed time-weighted residential radon concentration. When the analysis was restricted to the 484 subjects with lung cancer and the 1637 control subjects with radon measurements available for the entire 30-year period of interest, the corresponding increase was somewhat higher at 0.14 per 100 Bq m(-3) (95% CI 0.01, 0.29), although the difference between this group and the remaining subjects was not statistically significant. When the analysis was repeated taking into account uncertainties in the assessment of radon exposure, the estimated increases in relative risk per 100 Bq m(-3) were larger, at 0.12 (95% CI -0.05, 0.33) when all subjects were included and 0.24 (95% CI -0.01, 0.56) when limited to subjects with radon measurements available for all 30 years. These results are consistent with those from studies of residential radon carried out in other countries in which data on individual subjects have been collected. The combined evidence suggests that the risk of lung cancer associated with residential radon exposure is about the size that has been postulated on the basis of the studies of miners exposed to radon.
对职业性接触氡的地下矿工的研究一直表明,吸烟者和不吸烟者患肺癌的风险都会增加。氡暴露在其他地方也会发生,尤其是在房屋中,基于矿工研究结果的估计表明,在英国,约二十分之一的肺癌是由室内氡导致的,其中大多数是由氡与吸烟共同作用引起的。然而,这些计算依赖于几个假设,还需要更直接的风险程度证据。为了获得此类证据,在英格兰西南部开展了一项病例对照研究,对982名肺癌患者和3185名对照者进行了访谈。此外,还测量了这些研究对象在访谈前5年结束的30年期间所居住地址的氡浓度。在考虑研究对象在每个地址居住的时间长度,并对年龄、性别、吸烟状况、居住郡和社会阶层进行调整后,研究了肺癌风险与室内氡浓度之间的关系。观察到的时间加权室内氡浓度每增加100 Bq m(-3),肺癌的相对风险增加0.08(95%可信区间 -0.03, 0.20)。当分析仅限于484名肺癌患者和1637名在整个30年研究期内有氡测量数据的对照者时,相应的增加幅度略高,为每100 Bq m(-3)增加0.14(95%可信区间0.01, 0.29),尽管该组与其余研究对象之间的差异无统计学意义。在考虑氡暴露评估中的不确定性后重复进行分析时,每100 Bq m(-3)相对风险的估计增加幅度更大,纳入所有研究对象时为0.12(95%可信区间 -0.05, 0.33),仅限于有30年氡测量数据的研究对象时为0.24(95%可信区间 -0.01, 0.56)。这些结果与在其他国家开展的室内氡研究结果一致,这些研究收集了个体研究对象的数据。综合证据表明,与室内氡暴露相关的肺癌风险与基于对接触氡的矿工的研究所假设的风险大小相近。