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孟加拉国达卡住院患者中地方性霍乱的死亡率、发病率及微生物学情况

Mortality, morbidity, and microbiology of endemic cholera among hospitalized patients in Dhaka, Bangladesh.

作者信息

Ryan E T, Dhar U, Khan W A, Salam M A, Faruque A S, Fuchs G J, Calderwood S B, Bennish M L

机构信息

Tropical and Geographic Medicine Center, Division of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston 02114, USA.

出版信息

Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2000 Jul-Aug;63(1-2):12-20. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2000.63.12.

Abstract

Mortality and morbidity associated with cholera acquired in a modern endemic setting have not been well defined. In Dhaka, Bangladesh from 1986 to 1996, we found that causative agents of cholera shifted over time, varying by serogroup, biotype, and serotype. At the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research (ICDDR,B: Centre for Health and Population Research) in 1996, 19,100 cholera patients were treated, 887 (4.6%) were admitted, and 33 died (mortality rate = 3.7% of cholera inpatients, 0.14% of all cholera patients). When cholera inpatients who were discharged improved were compared with those who died, bacteremia (odds ratio [OR] = 10.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 2.9-37.9), radiographic evidence of pneumonia (OR = 3.1, 95% CI = 1.2-7.7), and acidosis as estimated by the serum bicarbonate value (OR = 0.893, 95% CI = 0.825-0.963) were independently associated with death by multivariate analysis. Pneumonia was the leading cause of death and accounted for two-thirds of all deaths among individuals with cholera in this study. Death in hospitalized patients with cholera acquired in a modern endemic setting is, therefore, extremely rare, and most frequently due to concomitant infection, especially pneumonia.

摘要

在现代霍乱流行地区,霍乱相关的死亡率和发病率尚未得到明确界定。1986年至1996年期间,在孟加拉国达卡,我们发现霍乱的病原体随时间推移而变化,血清群、生物型和血清型各不相同。1996年,在国际腹泻病研究中心(孟加拉国健康与人口研究中心),共治疗了19100例霍乱患者,其中887例(4.6%)入院治疗,33例死亡(死亡率=霍乱住院患者的3.7%,占所有霍乱患者的0.14%)。将出院后病情好转的霍乱住院患者与死亡患者进行比较,通过多变量分析发现,菌血症(比值比[OR]=10.5,95%置信区间[CI]=2.9 - 37.9)、肺炎的影像学证据(OR = 3.1,95% CI = 1.2 - 7.7)以及血清碳酸氢盐值估计的酸中毒(OR = 0.893,95% CI = 0.825 - 0.963)与死亡独立相关。肺炎是主要死因,在本研究中占霍乱患者所有死亡人数的三分之二。因此,在现代霍乱流行地区获得性霍乱住院患者的死亡极为罕见,最常见的原因是合并感染,尤其是肺炎。

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