Lloyd A J
Health Economics Research Unit, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen AB25 2ZD, UK.
Qual Health Care. 2001 Sep;10 Suppl 1(Suppl 1):i14-8. doi: 10.1136/qhc.0100014...
The scientific understanding of how people perceive and code risks and then use this information in decision making has progressed greatly in the last 20 years. There is considerable evidence that people employ simplifying heuristics in judgement and decision making. These heuristics may lead to bias in how people interpret information. However, much of our understanding of risk perception is based on laboratory studies. It is much less clear whether risk perception in the real world (as in the case of medical treatments) exhibits the same patterns and biases. This paper reviews the published literature on risk perception in patients who face substantial treatment risks. It examines how accurate patients' perception of risk is, what factors affect the perception of risk, and several possible explanations for why patients' risk perception is not always accurate.
在过去20年里,人们对于人类如何感知和编码风险,以及如何在决策中运用这些信息的科学理解取得了长足进展。有大量证据表明,人们在判断和决策过程中采用简化的启发式方法。这些启发式方法可能导致人们在解释信息时产生偏差。然而,我们对风险感知的大部分理解都基于实验室研究。在现实世界中(如医疗治疗的情况),风险感知是否表现出相同的模式和偏差则不太明确。本文回顾了关于面临重大治疗风险的患者的风险感知的已发表文献。它考察了患者对风险的感知有多准确,哪些因素影响风险感知,以及对于患者风险感知为何并不总是准确的几种可能解释。