Basu Rupa, Samet Jonathan M
Department of Epidemiology, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, Maryland 21205, USA.
Environ Health Perspect. 2002 Dec;110(12):1219-24. doi: 10.1289/ehp.021101219.
Because of concern for heat-related mortality in vulnerable populations, particularly the elderly, practical epidemiologic methods are needed for the assessment of ambient heat exposure on individuals. We used a personal monitor to measure body temperature, ambient temperature, heart rate, and activity level of 42 elderly residents of Baltimore, Maryland, in the summer months of 2000. Each participant was monitored for approximately 48 hr to examine the association between ambient temperature and body temperature, using regression methods that account for highly correlated data within individuals. We also examined the associations of Baltimore temperature data with personal ambient temperature and body temperature. An average 0.15 degrees F [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.05-0.25] increase in median body temperature was found for each 1 degrees F increase in median ambient temperature. Heart rate and activity level were not found to be related to body temperature or ambient temperature, although heart rate was associated with activity level. Median heart rate increased an average of 0.17 (95% CI, 0.13-0.21) beats per minute for every unit increase in median activity level. Personal ambient temperature was slightly lower than Baltimore temperatures, whereas an association was not found between body temperature and Baltimore temperatures. The protocol established in this study for heat exposure assessment could feasibly be applied on a larger scale.
由于担心弱势群体,特别是老年人因高温导致的死亡率,需要实用的流行病学方法来评估个体的环境热暴露情况。我们使用个人监测仪,于2000年夏季测量了马里兰州巴尔的摩市42位老年居民的体温、环境温度、心率和活动水平。每位参与者被监测约48小时,使用考虑个体内高度相关数据的回归方法,来研究环境温度与体温之间的关联。我们还研究了巴尔的摩温度数据与个人环境温度和体温之间的关联。发现环境温度中位数每升高1华氏度,体温中位数平均升高0.15华氏度[95%置信区间(CI),0.05 - 0.25]。虽然心率与活动水平相关,但未发现心率和活动水平与体温或环境温度有关。活动水平中位数每增加一个单位,心率中位数平均每分钟增加0.17次(95% CI,0.13 - 0.21)。个人环境温度略低于巴尔的摩市的温度,而体温与巴尔的摩市温度之间未发现关联。本研究中建立的热暴露评估方案可切实可行地应用于更大规模。