Pyne D B, Hopkins W G, Batterham A M, Gleeson M, Fricker P A
Australian Institute of Sport, PO Box 176, Belconnen, Canberra, ACT 2616, Australia.
Br J Sports Med. 2005 Oct;39(10):752-6. doi: 10.1136/bjsm.2004.017475.
To determine individual differences in the impact of illness on the change in performance of swimmers in international competitions.
Subjects were members of the Australian swimming team (33 male and 39 female, aged 15-27 years). Swimmers provided a weekly seven day recall of symptoms of illness during final six weeks of preparations for international competition over a three year period. Swimmers were categorised as either ill (one or more episodes of illness) or healthy. The measure of performances was the international point score. Mean changes in points score were calculated for healthy and ill swimmers between a national championship and an international competition ( approximately 16 weeks later). Likelihoods of substantial effects of illness on an individual's true change in performance (beneficial/trivial/harmful) were estimated from means and standard deviations, assuming a smallest substantial change of 6 points.
Illness was reported before international performances by 38% of female and 35% of male swimmers. For female swimmers the change in performance was -3.7 (21.5) points (mean (SD)) with illness and -2.6 (19.0) points when healthy; for male swimmers the changes were -1.4 (17.5) points with illness and 5.6 (13.2) points when healthy. The likelihoods that illness had a substantial beneficial/trivial/harmful effect on performance of an individual swimmer were 32%/31%/37% for female and 17%/31%/52% for male participants (90% confidence limits approximately +/-10% to 20%).
Although mild illness had only a trivial mean effect on female swimmers and a small harmful mean effect on male swimmers, there were substantial chances of benefit and harm for individuals.
确定疾病对国际比赛中游泳运动员成绩变化影响的个体差异。
研究对象为澳大利亚游泳队队员(33名男性和39名女性,年龄在15 - 27岁之间)。在三年时间里,游泳运动员在国际比赛前最后六周的准备阶段,每周回忆一次七天内的疾病症状。游泳运动员被分为患病组(有一次或多次患病经历)和健康组。成绩的衡量指标是国际积分。计算了全国锦标赛和国际比赛(大约16周后)之间健康和患病游泳运动员积分的平均变化。假设最小显著变化为6分,根据平均值和标准差估计疾病对个体成绩真实变化产生显著有益/轻微/有害影响的可能性。
38%的女游泳运动员和35%的男游泳运动员在国际比赛前报告患病。对于女游泳运动员,患病时成绩变化为-3.7(21.5)分(平均值(标准差)),健康时为-2.6(19.0)分;对于男游泳运动员,患病时变化为-1.4(17.5)分,健康时为5.6(13.2)分。疾病对个体游泳运动员成绩产生显著有益/轻微/有害影响的可能性,女性参与者为32%/31%/37%,男性参与者为17%/31%/52%(90%置信区间约为±10%至20%)。
尽管轻度疾病对女游泳运动员的平均影响微不足道,对男游泳运动员有较小的有害平均影响,但个体仍有很大的受益和受损机会。