Liu Xianning, Takeuchi Yasuhiro
Key Laboratory of Eco-environments in Three Gorges Reservoir Region, Ministry of Education, School of Mathematics and Finance, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, PR China.
J Theor Biol. 2006 Sep 21;242(2):517-28. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2006.03.018. Epub 2006 Apr 6.
An SIQS model is proposed to study the effect of transport-related infection and entry screening. If the basic reproduction number is below unity, the disease free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. There exists an endemic equilibrium which is locally asymptotically stable if the reproduction number is larger than unity. It is shown that the disease is endemic in the sense of permanence if and only if the endemic equilibrium exists. Entry screening is shown to be helpful for disease eradication since it can always have the possibility to eradicate the disease led by transport-related infection and furthermore have the possibility to eradicate disease even when the disease is endemic in both isolated cities.
提出了一个SIQS模型来研究与运输相关的感染和入境筛查的影响。如果基本再生数小于1,则无病平衡点是局部渐近稳定的。存在一个地方病平衡点,如果再生数大于1,则该平衡点是局部渐近稳定的。结果表明,当且仅当地方病平衡点存在时,疾病在持久性意义上是地方病。入境筛查被证明有助于根除疾病,因为它总是有可能根除由运输相关感染导致的疾病,而且即使在两个孤立城市中疾病都是地方病时,也有可能根除疾病。