Neaton J D, Wentworth D
Division of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis 55414.
Arch Intern Med. 1992 Jan;152(1):56-64.
To assess the combined influence of blood pressure (BP), serum cholesterol level, and cigarette smoking on death from coronary heart disease (CHD) and to describe how these associations vary with age, data on those factors and on mortality for 316,099 men screened for the Multiple Risk Factor Intervention Trial (MRFIT) were examined. Vital status of participants has been determined after an average follow-up of 12 years; 6327 deaths from CHD have been identified. Strong graded relationships between serum cholesterol levels above 4.65 mmol/L (180 mg/dL), systolic BP above 110 mm Hg, and diastolic BP above 70 mm Hg and mortality due to CHD were evident. Smokers with serum cholesterol and systolic BP levels in the highest quintiles had CHD death rates that were approximately 20 times greater than nonsmoking men with systolic BP and cholesterol levels in the lowest quintile. Systolic and diastolic BP, serum cholesterol level, and cigarettes per day were significant predictors of death due to CHD in all age groups. Systolic BP was a stronger predictor than diastolic BP. These results, together with the findings of clinical trials, offer strong support for intensified preventive efforts in all age groups.
为评估血压(BP)、血清胆固醇水平和吸烟对冠心病(CHD)死亡的综合影响,并描述这些关联如何随年龄变化,我们研究了参加多重危险因素干预试验(MRFIT)筛查的316,099名男性的这些因素及死亡率数据。在平均随访12年后确定了参与者的生命状态;已确认6327例冠心病死亡病例。血清胆固醇水平高于4.65 mmol/L(180 mg/dL)、收缩压高于110 mmHg和舒张压高于70 mmHg与冠心病死亡率之间存在明显的强分级关系。血清胆固醇和收缩压水平处于最高五分位数的吸烟者的冠心病死亡率约为收缩压和胆固醇水平处于最低五分位数的非吸烟男性的20倍。收缩压和舒张压、血清胆固醇水平以及每日吸烟量在所有年龄组中都是冠心病死亡的重要预测因素。收缩压比舒张压是更强的预测因素。这些结果与临床试验的结果一起,为在所有年龄组加强预防措施提供了有力支持。