Lee John D
University of Iowa, Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, 2130 Seamans Center, Iowa City, IA 52242, USA.
J Safety Res. 2007;38(2):203-13. doi: 10.1016/j.jsr.2007.02.008. Epub 2007 Mar 26.
The rapid evolution of computing, communication, and sensor technology is likely to affect young drivers more than others. The distraction potential of infotainment technology stresses the same vulnerabilities that already lead young drivers to crash more frequently than other drivers. Cell phones, text messaging, MP3 players, and other nomadic devices all present a threat because young drivers may lack the spare attentional capacity for vehicle control and the ability to anticipate and manage hazards. Moreover, young drivers are likely to be the first and most aggressive users of new technology. Fortunately, emerging technology can also support safe driving. Electronic stability control, collision avoidance systems, intelligent speed adaptation, and vehicle tracking systems can all help mitigate the threats to young drivers. However, technology alone is unlikely to make young drivers safer. One promising approach to tailoring technology to teen drivers is to extend proven methods for enhancing young driver safety. The success of graduated drivers license programs (GDL) and the impressive safety benefit of supervised driving suggest ways of tailoring technology to the needs of young drivers. To anticipate the effects of technology on teen driving it may be useful to draw an analogy between the effects of passengers and the effects of technology. Technology can act as a teen passenger and undermine safety or it can act as an adult passenger and enhance safety.
Rapidly developing technology may have particularly large effects on teen drivers. To maximize the positive effects and minimize the negative effects will require a broad range of industries to work together. Ideally, vehicle manufacturers would work with infotainment providers, insurance companies, and policy makers to craft new technologies so that they accommodate the needs of young drivers. Without such collaboration young drivers will face even greater challenges to their safety as new technologies emerge.
计算、通信和传感器技术的快速发展对年轻驾驶员的影响可能比对其他人群更大。信息娱乐技术带来的注意力分散隐患,凸显了那些已导致年轻驾驶员比其他驾驶员更频繁发生撞车事故的相同脆弱性。手机、短信、MP3播放器及其他移动设备都构成威胁,因为年轻驾驶员可能缺乏用于车辆操控的额外注意力,以及预判和应对危险的能力。此外,年轻驾驶员很可能是新技术的首批且最积极的使用者。幸运的是,新兴技术也能支持安全驾驶。电子稳定控制系统、防撞系统、智能速度自适应系统和车辆跟踪系统都有助于减轻对年轻驾驶员的威胁。然而,仅靠技术不太可能让年轻驾驶员更安全。一种针对青少年驾驶员量身定制技术的可行方法,是扩展已证实的增强年轻驾驶员安全性的方法。分级驾驶证计划(GDL)的成功以及监督驾驶带来的显著安全效益,为根据年轻驾驶员的需求定制技术指明了方向。为预测技术对青少年驾驶的影响,将乘客的影响与技术的影响进行类比可能会有所帮助。技术可以像青少年乘客一样削弱安全性,也可以像成年乘客一样增强安全性。
快速发展的技术可能对青少年驾驶员产生特别大的影响。要将积极影响最大化并将负面影响最小化,需要众多行业共同努力。理想情况下,车辆制造商应与信息娱乐供应商、保险公司和政策制定者合作,打造适应年轻驾驶员需求的新技术。如果没有这种合作,随着新技术的出现,年轻驾驶员的安全将面临更大挑战。