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健康预期寿命:全球人口健康变化指标评估

Healthy life expectancy: evaluation of global indicator of change in population health.

作者信息

Robine J M, Ritchie K

机构信息

Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale, CHRU Lapeyronie, Montpellier, France.

出版信息

BMJ. 1991 Feb 23;302(6774):457-60. doi: 10.1136/bmj.302.6774.457.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To review and evaluate the usefulness of healthy life expectancy as a global indicator of changes in a population's health.

DESIGN

Review of all known studies to date from the United States, mainland Europe, Canada, and the United Kingdom that have used Sullivan's method of calculating disability free life expectancy.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Life expectancy and disability free life expectancy.

RESULTS

Over the past decade the average healthy life expectancy was 60 years for men and 64 for women, with the proportion of years of disability ranging from 11% to 21% in men and from 14% to 24% in women. At the age of 65 men could expect eight years of disability free life and women 10, with the life expectancy being respectively 14 and 19 years. The difference between the wealthiest and poorest income quintiles was 6.3 years in life expectancy and 14.3 in disability free life expectancy for men and 2.8 and 7.6 respectively for women. These results suggest that disparities in health are greater between social groups than between the sexes. Diseases affect mortality and morbidity differently. The order of importance for affecting life expectancy was circulatory disease, cancer, and accidents and for disability free life expectancy, circulatory disease, locomotor disorders, and respiratory disorders.

CONCLUSIONS

Healthy life expectancy is a valuable index for the appreciation of changes in both the physical and the mental health states of the general population, for allocating resources, and for measuring the success of political programmes. Future calculations should also take into account the probability of recovery and thus extend the applicability of the indicator to populations in poor health rather than focusing on the well population.

摘要

目的

回顾并评估健康预期寿命作为全球人口健康变化指标的实用性。

设计

回顾美国、欧洲大陆、加拿大和英国迄今为止所有使用沙利文方法计算无残疾预期寿命的已知研究。

主要观察指标

预期寿命和无残疾预期寿命。

结果

在过去十年中,男性的平均健康预期寿命为60岁,女性为64岁,男性的残疾年限比例在11%至21%之间,女性在14%至24%之间。65岁时,男性预计有8年无残疾生活,女性为10年,预期寿命分别为14年和19年。最富有和最贫穷收入五分位数之间的预期寿命差异,男性为6.3年,无残疾预期寿命差异为14.3年;女性分别为2.8年和7.6年。这些结果表明,社会群体之间的健康差距大于性别之间的差距。疾病对死亡率和发病率的影响不同。影响预期寿命的重要性顺序为循环系统疾病、癌症和事故;影响无残疾预期寿命的顺序为循环系统疾病、运动障碍和呼吸系统疾病。

结论

健康预期寿命是评估普通人群身心健康状况变化、分配资源以及衡量政治方案成功与否的宝贵指标。未来的计算还应考虑康复的可能性,从而将该指标的适用性扩展到健康状况较差的人群,而不是只关注健康人群。

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