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缺失数据:衰老研究中的一项特殊挑战。

Missing data: a special challenge in aging research.

作者信息

Hardy Susan E, Allore Heather, Studenski Stephanie A

机构信息

Division of Geriatric Medicine, School of Medicine, University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania 15213, USA.

出版信息

J Am Geriatr Soc. 2009 Apr;57(4):722-9. doi: 10.1111/j.1532-5415.2008.02168.x. Epub 2009 Feb 10.

Abstract

Scientific evidence should guide clinical care, but special methodological challenges influence interpretation of the medical literature pertaining to older adults. Missing data, ranging from lack of individual items in questionnaires to complete loss to follow-up, affect the quality of the evidence and are more likely to occur in studies of older adults because older adults have more health and functional problems that interfere with all aspects of data collection than do younger people. The purpose of this article is to promote knowledge about the risks and consequences of missing data in clinical aging research and to provide an organized approach to prevention and management. Although it is almost never possible to achieve complete data capture, efforts to prevent missing data are more effective than analytical "cure." Strategies to prevent missing data include selecting a primary outcome that is easy to determine and devising valid alternate definitions, adapting data collection to the special needs of the target population, pilot testing data collection plans, and monitoring missing data rates during the study and adapting data collection procedures as needed. Key steps in the analysis of missing data include assessing the extent and types of missing data before analysis, exploring potential mechanisms that contributed to the missing data, and using multiple analytical approaches to assess the effect of missing data on the results. Manuscripts should disclose rates of missing data and losses to follow-up, compare dropouts with participants who completed the study, describe how missing data were managed in the analysis phase, and discuss the potential effect of missing data on the conclusions of the study.

摘要

科学证据应指导临床护理,但特殊的方法学挑战会影响对有关老年人的医学文献的解读。缺失数据,从问卷中个别项目的缺失到完全失访,都会影响证据的质量,而且在老年人研究中更有可能出现,因为与年轻人相比,老年人有更多的健康和功能问题,会干扰数据收集的各个方面。本文的目的是增进对临床衰老研究中缺失数据的风险和后果的了解,并提供一种有组织的预防和管理方法。虽然几乎不可能实现完全的数据捕获,但预防缺失数据的努力比分析性“补救”更有效。预防缺失数据的策略包括选择易于确定的主要结局并设计有效的替代定义,使数据收集适应目标人群的特殊需求,对数据收集计划进行预试验,并在研究期间监测缺失数据率并根据需要调整数据收集程序。分析缺失数据的关键步骤包括在分析前评估缺失数据的程度和类型,探索导致缺失数据的潜在机制,并使用多种分析方法评估缺失数据对结果的影响。稿件应披露缺失数据率和失访情况,将退出者与完成研究的参与者进行比较,描述在分析阶段如何处理缺失数据,并讨论缺失数据对研究结论的潜在影响。

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