Tibshirani Robert J
Stanford University, USA.
Stat Appl Genet Mol Biol. 2009;8(1):Article21. doi: 10.2202/1544-6115.1438. Epub 2009 Apr 14.
We propose a method for prediction in Cox's proportional model, when the number of features (regressors), p, exceeds the number of observations, n. The method assumes that the features are independent in each risk set, so that the partial likelihood factors into a product. As such, it is analogous to univariate thresholding in linear regression and nearest shrunken centroids in classification. We call the procedure Cox univariate shrinkage and demonstrate its usefulness on real and simulated data. The method has the attractive property of being essentially univariate in its operation: the features are entered into the model based on the size of their Cox score statistics. We illustrate the new method on real and simulated data, and compare it to other proposed methods for survival prediction with a large number of predictors.
我们提出了一种在Cox比例模型中进行预测的方法,该模型中特征(回归变量)的数量p超过了观测值的数量n。该方法假定在每个风险集中特征是相互独立的,从而使偏似然分解为一个乘积。因此,它类似于线性回归中的单变量阈值处理和分类中的最近收缩质心。我们将该过程称为Cox单变量收缩,并在真实数据和模拟数据上证明了其有效性。该方法具有在操作上本质上为单变量的吸引人的特性:基于其Cox得分统计量的大小将特征输入模型。我们在真实数据和模拟数据上展示了这种新方法,并将其与其他针对大量预测变量的生存预测方法进行比较。