Karolinska Institutet, Department of Public Health Sciences, Division of International Health, Nobels väg 9, Stockholm SE-171 77, Sweden.
Accid Anal Prev. 2009 Jul;41(4):734-8. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2009.03.012. Epub 2009 Apr 17.
The study aims to clarify the most typical circumstances in which car crashes involving young drivers and leading to the occurrence of injuries and to consider the various licensing statuses of the drivers in such crashes.
Young Swedish drivers born between 1984 and 1986 were followed up in the Police register (2003-2004) for their involvement in car crashes as drivers (n=2448). A set of five variables (25 categories) descriptive of those crashes was analyzed simultaneously by means of cluster analysis. Associations between crash clusters and licensing status (including none), licensing duration and alcohol involvement were also measured.
Five clusters were identified, typical of one or some specific crash type(s): single-vehicle in sparsely populated areas, front-on collisions, crashes at dawn or at dusk, turning, cars of later model, crashes in urban areas and speed limits below 50 km/h. Clusters differ in consequences and in the proportions of alcohol impaired drivers involved but not regarding proportions of novice drivers. Unlicensed drivers were found in excess in some clusters (especially single and night time crashes).
Young drivers are involved in crashes leading to injuries in rather specific circumstances. For some of them, novice drivers or even unlicensed drivers are over-represented, which points to the need for targeted counter-measures, alongside those general ones already in place.
本研究旨在阐明涉及年轻驾驶员并导致受伤的车祸最常见情况,并考虑此类事故中驾驶员的各种许可状态。
在警察登记处(2003-2004 年)对 1984 年至 1986 年间出生的瑞典年轻驾驶员进行了随访,以了解他们作为驾驶员参与车祸的情况(n=2448)。通过聚类分析同时分析了描述这些事故的一组五个变量(25 个类别)。还测量了事故簇与许可状态(包括无)、许可持续时间和酒精参与之间的关联。
确定了五个集群,典型的是一种或几种特定的碰撞类型:在人口稀少地区的单辆汽车、正面碰撞、黎明或黄昏时的碰撞、转弯、较新型号的汽车、在市区的碰撞和限速低于 50 公里/小时。集群在后果和涉及的酒精中毒驾驶员比例上有所不同,但在新手驾驶员比例上没有差异。在某些集群中发现无照驾驶员过剩(尤其是夜间和单辆汽车事故)。
年轻驾驶员参与导致受伤的车祸,情况较为特殊。对于其中一些人来说,新手驾驶员甚至无照驾驶员的比例过高,这表明需要采取有针对性的对策,同时也需要采取已经实施的一般对策。