Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, University of Washington Medical Center, Box 356522, 1959 NE Pacific St, Seattle, WA 98195-6522, USA.
Chest. 2010 Apr;137(4):852-60. doi: 10.1378/chest.09-1374. Epub 2009 Dec 4.
Although cystic fibrosis (CF) is the most common inherited respiratory disease, the burden of influenza among individuals with CF is not well characterized.
We used the CF Foundation Patient Registry to determine the relationship between pulmonary exacerbation incidence rate and influenza virus season from July 2003 through June 2007. The outcome of interest, pulmonary exacerbation, was defined as treatment of a respiratory illness with IV antibiotics. Each influenza season was defined as all months during which >/= 15% of laboratory tests for influenza virus were positive in the US influenza virologic surveillance system. We calculated incidence rates of pulmonary exacerbation during the influenza and summertime seasons as well as relative rates with 95% CIs. A multivariate regression model adjusted for demographic and clinical predictors.
In 2003, the patient cohort size was 21,506 patients, and 7,727 patients experienced at least one pulmonary exacerbation. The overall pulmonary exacerbation incidence rate in the influenza season was 595.0 per 10,000 person-months compared with a summertime baseline of 549.6 per 10,000 person-months. The incidence rate ratio was 1.08 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.10). Multivariate analysis did not change our estimate of risk (adjusted odds ratio: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.10). An estimated annual excess of 147.6 per 10,000 person-months or an excess 2.1% of total exacerbations occur during the influenza season.
Our data demonstrate a substantial contribution of the influenza season to CF morbidity. Further studies to determine any causal link between influenza infection and CF pulmonary exacerbations are necessary.
虽然囊性纤维化(CF)是最常见的遗传性呼吸道疾病,但 CF 患者的流感负担尚未得到充分描述。
我们使用 CF 基金会患者登记处,从 2003 年 7 月到 2007 年 6 月,确定肺部恶化发生率与流感病毒季节之间的关系。感兴趣的结果是肺部恶化,定义为使用 IV 抗生素治疗呼吸道疾病。每个流感季节均定义为美国流感病毒监测系统中流感病毒检测阳性的月份数大于等于 15%的所有月份。我们计算了流感季节和夏季期间肺部恶化的发生率以及具有 95%CI 的相对比率。多变量回归模型调整了人口统计学和临床预测因素。
在 2003 年,患者队列大小为 21506 例,有 7727 例患者至少经历过一次肺部恶化。流感季节的总体肺部恶化发生率为每 10000 人-月 595.0 例,而夏季基线为每 10000 人-月 549.6 例。发病率比为 1.08(95%CI:1.06,1.10)。多变量分析并未改变我们对风险的估计(调整后的优势比:1.07;95%CI:1.05,1.10)。估计每年每 10000 人-月有 147.6 例以上的流感季节发生,或每年有 2.1%以上的总恶化发生。
我们的数据表明,流感季节对 CF 发病率有重大影响。需要进一步研究确定流感感染与 CF 肺部恶化之间的任何因果关系。