Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of West Florida, Pensacola, Florida 32514, USA.
Pediatr Blood Cancer. 2010 Apr;54(4):511-8. doi: 10.1002/pbc.22403.
Childhood cancer remains the leading cause of disease-related mortality for children. Whereas, improvement in care has dramatically increased survival, the risk factors remain to be fully understood. The increasing incidence of childhood cancer in Florida may be associated with possible cancer clusters. We aimed, in this study, to identify and confirm possible childhood cancer clusters and their subtypes in the state of Florida.
We conducted purely spatial and space-time analyzes to assess any evidence of childhood malignancy clusters in the state of Florida using SaTScan. Data from the Florida Association of Pediatric Tumor Programs (FAPTP) for the period 2000-2007 were used in this analysis.
In the purely spatial analysis, the relative risks (RR) of overall childhood cancer persisted after controlling for confounding factors in south Florida (SF) (RR = 1.36, P = 0.001) and northeastern Florida (NEF) (RR = 1.30, P = 0.01). Likewise, in the space-time analysis, there was a statistically significant increase in cancer rates in SF (RR = 1.52, P = 0.001) between 2006 and 2007. The purely spatial analysis of the cancer subtypes indicated a statistically significant increase in the rate of leukemia and brain/CNS cancers in both SF and NEF, P < 0.05. The space-time analysis indicated a statistically significant sizable increase in brain/CNS tumors (RR = 2.25, P = 0.02) for 2006-2007.
There is evidence of spatial and space-time childhood cancer clustering in SF and NEF. This evidence is suggestive of the presence of possible predisposing factors in these cluster regions. Therefore, further study is needed to investigate these potential risk factors.
儿童癌症仍然是导致儿童死亡的主要疾病原因。尽管治疗水平的提高显著提高了生存率,但风险因素仍未完全了解。佛罗里达州儿童癌症发病率的上升可能与潜在的癌症聚集有关。在这项研究中,我们旨在确定并确认佛罗里达州可能存在的儿童癌症聚集及其亚型。
我们使用 SaTScan 进行纯粹的空间和时空分析,以评估佛罗里达州儿童恶性肿瘤聚集的证据。本分析使用了佛罗里达州儿科肿瘤项目协会(FAPTP) 2000-2007 年的数据。
在纯粹的空间分析中,在控制混杂因素后,南佛罗里达州(SF)(RR = 1.36,P = 0.001)和东北佛罗里达州(NEF)(RR = 1.30,P = 0.01)的整体儿童癌症相对风险(RR)仍然存在。同样,在时空分析中,SF 癌症发病率在 2006 年至 2007 年间呈统计学显著增加(RR = 1.52,P = 0.001)。癌症亚型的纯粹空间分析表明,SF 和 NEF 白血病和脑/中枢神经系统癌症的发病率均呈统计学显著增加,P <0.05。时空分析表明,脑/中枢神经系统肿瘤的发病率在 2006-2007 年间呈统计学显著增加(RR = 2.25,P = 0.02)。
SF 和 NEF 存在儿童癌症的空间和时空聚集证据。这一证据表明这些聚集区域可能存在潜在的致病因素。因此,需要进一步研究来调查这些潜在的风险因素。