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评估动态风险因素:性犯罪者暴力风险量表的独立验证研究。

Assessment of dynamic risk factors: an independent validation study of the Violence Risk Scale: Sexual Offender Version.

机构信息

University of Canterbury, Christchurch, New Zealand.

出版信息

Sex Abuse. 2010 Jun;22(2):234-51. doi: 10.1177/1079063210369014.

Abstract

The Violence Risk Scale: Sexual Offender Version (VRS:SO) is a rating scale designed to assess risk among sexual offenders and the degree of change achieved in treatment. The scale consists of 7 static and 17 dynamic risk items, with protocols for measuring treatment change based on the Transtheoretical Change Model. The aim of the current study was to evaluate the psychometric properties of the VRS:SO on an independent sample of 218 child molesters who received treatment at a prison-based program in New Zealand and who were followed up for an average of 12.2 years. Supporting the initial validation of the VRS:SO, the results indicated good interrater reliability, concurrent validity, and predictive validity of the measure--VRS:SO scores were predictive of sexual recidivism (for Dynamic and Total scores, area under the curve value approximately .80), and the dynamic scale made significant incremental contributions after controlling for static risk. The authors also analyzed the validity of the factor structure of the VRS:SO dynamic scale and compared the measure with an alternative measure of dynamic risk based on a self-report psychometric battery.

摘要

性犯罪者暴力风险量表(VRS:SO)是一种旨在评估性犯罪者风险和治疗中所取得的变化程度的评级量表。该量表由 7 个静态和 17 个动态风险项目组成,其治疗变化的测量方案基于跨理论改变模型。本研究的目的是在新西兰一所监狱为基础的项目中接受治疗的 218 名儿童性侵犯者的独立样本中评估 VRS:SO 的心理测量特性,这些患者的平均随访时间为 12.2 年。支持 VRS:SO 的初步验证,结果表明该测量具有良好的评分者间信度、同时效度和预测效度--VRS:SO 评分可预测性重犯(动态和总分的曲线下面积值约为.80),且在控制静态风险后,动态量表有显著的增量贡献。作者还分析了 VRS:SO 动态量表的因子结构的有效性,并将该测量方法与基于自我报告心理计量电池的替代动态风险测量方法进行了比较。

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