Center for Computational Biology and Bioinformatics, The University of Texas, Austin, TX, USA.
J Med Syst. 2012 Jun;36(3):1475-83. doi: 10.1007/s10916-010-9608-7. Epub 2010 Oct 20.
As seen in the spring 2009 A/H1N1 influenza outbreak, influenza pandemics can have profound social, legal and economic effects. This experience has also made the importance of public health preparedness exercises more evident. Universities face unique challenges with respect to pandemic preparedness due to their dense student populations, location within the larger community and frequent student/faculty international travel. Depending on the social structure of the community, different mitigation strategies should be applied for decreasing the severity and transmissibility of the disease. To this end, Arizona State University has developed a simulation model and tabletop exercise that facilitates decision-maker interactions around emergency-response scenarios. This simulation gives policy makers the ability to see the real-time impact of their decisions. Therefore, tabletop exercises with computer simulations are developed to practice these decisions, which can possibly give opportunities for practicing better policy implementations. This paper introduces a new method of designing and performing table-top exercises for pandemic influenza via state-of-the-art technologies including system visualization and group decision making with a supporting simulation model. The presented exercise methodology can increase readiness for a pandemic through the support of computer and information technologies and the survey results that we include in this paper certainly support this result. The video scenarios and the computer simulation model make the exercise appear very compelling and real, which makes this presented method of exercising different than the other table-top exercises in the literature. Finally, designing a pandemic preparedness exercise with supporting technologies can help identifying the communication gaps between responsible authorities and advance the table-top exercising methodology.
如 2009 年春季的 A/H1N1 流感大流行所显示的那样,流感大流行可能会对社会、法律和经济产生深远影响。这一经历也使公共卫生准备演习的重要性更加明显。由于学生人口密集、位于大社区内以及学生/教师经常国际旅行,大学在大流行准备方面面临独特的挑战。根据社区的社会结构,应采用不同的缓解策略来降低疾病的严重程度和传染性。为此,亚利桑那州立大学开发了一种模拟模型和桌面演习,以促进决策者围绕应急响应场景进行互动。该模拟使政策制定者能够实时看到其决策的影响。因此,开发了带有计算机模拟的桌面演习来练习这些决策,这可能为更好地实施政策提供机会。本文介绍了一种通过包括系统可视化和群体决策支持的最先进技术设计和执行大流行性流感桌面演习的新方法以及支持的模拟模型。所提出的演习方法可以通过计算机和信息技术的支持来提高大流行的准备水平,我们在本文中包含的调查结果肯定支持这一结果。视频场景和计算机模拟模型使演习看起来非常引人注目且逼真,这使得所提出的这种演习方法与文献中的其他桌面演习不同。最后,设计具有支持技术的大流行准备演习可以帮助识别责任当局之间的沟通差距,并推进桌面演习方法。