Faculty of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Trop Med Int Health. 2011 Mar;16(3):375-8. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-3156.2010.02702.x. Epub 2010 Dec 3.
In September 2008, we measured all-cause mortality in Chiradzulu District, Malawi (population 291, 000) over a 60-day retrospective period, using capture-recapture analysis of three lists of deaths provided by (i) key community informants, (ii) graveyard officials and (iii) health system sources. Estimated crude and under-5-year mortality rates were 18.6 (95% CI 13.9-24.5) and 30.6 (95% CI 17.5-59.9) deaths per 1000 person-years. We also classified causes of death through verbal autopsy interviews on 50 deaths over the previous 40 days. Half of deaths were attributable to infection, and half of deaths among children aged under 5 were attributable to neonatal causes. HIV/AIDS was the leading cause of death (16.6%), with a cause-attributable mortality rate of 1.8 (0.4-3.6) deaths per 1000 person-years.
2008 年 9 月,我们采用捕获-再捕获分析法,对马拉维奇拉祖卢区(人口 291000)在过去 60 天内的全因死亡率进行了测量,该分析共使用了三份死亡名单,这三份名单分别由(i)关键社区线人、(ii)公墓官员和(iii)卫生系统来源提供。估计的粗死亡率和 5 岁以下儿童死亡率分别为每 1000 人年 18.6(95%CI 13.9-24.5)和 30.6(95%CI 17.5-59.9)。我们还通过对过去 40 天内的 50 例死亡进行死因推断访谈,对死亡原因进行了分类。一半的死亡归因于感染,而 5 岁以下儿童的一半死亡归因于新生儿病因。艾滋病毒/艾滋病是主要死因(16.6%),归因死亡率为每 1000 人年 1.8(0.4-3.6)人。