Department of Economics, University Manchester, USA.
Demography. 2010;47 Suppl(Suppl 1):S211-31. doi: 10.1353/dem.2010.0008.
We find that both disease incidence and disease prevalence are higher among Americans in age groups 55-64 and 70-80, indicating that Americans suffer from higher past cumulative disease risk and experience higher immediate risk of new disease onset compared with the English. In contrast, age-specific mortality rates are similar in the two countries, with an even higher risk among the English after age 65. We also examine reasons for the large financial gradients in mortality in the two countries. Among 55- to 64-year-olds, we estimate similar health gradients in income and wealth in both countries, but for 70- to 80-year-olds, we find no income gradient in the United Kingdom. Standard behavioral risk factors (work, marriage, obesity, exercise, and smoking) almost fully explain income gradients among those aged 55-64 in both countries and a significant part among Americans 70-80 years old. The most likely explanation of the absence of an English income gradient relates to the English income benefit system: below the median, retirement benefits are largely flat and independent of past income, and hence past health, during the working years. Finally, we report evidence using a long panel of American respondents that their subsequent mortality is not related to large changes in wealth experienced during the prior 10-year period.
我们发现,55-64 岁和 70-80 岁的美国人群中,疾病发病率和患病率都更高,这表明与英国人相比,美国人过去累积的疾病风险更高,新发病的即时风险更高。相比之下,两国的特定年龄死亡率相似,英国人 65 岁以后的风险更高。我们还研究了两国死亡率中存在巨大的财务梯度的原因。在 55-64 岁的人群中,我们估计两国的收入和财富与健康之间存在相似的梯度,但在 70-80 岁的人群中,我们发现英国没有收入梯度。标准的行为风险因素(工作、婚姻、肥胖、锻炼和吸烟)几乎完全解释了两国 55-64 岁人群的收入梯度,也解释了很大一部分 70-80 岁美国人的收入梯度。没有英国收入梯度的最可能解释与英国的收入福利制度有关:在中位数以下,退休福利在很大程度上是固定的,与工作期间的过去收入(因此也与过去的健康状况)无关。最后,我们使用美国受访者的一个长期面板报告了证据,表明他们在之前 10 年期间经历的财富大幅变化与其随后的死亡率无关。