Institute for Biodiagnostics, National Research Council Canada, Winnipeg, MB, Canada.
Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2011 Mar;5(2):83-8. doi: 10.1111/j.1750-2659.2010.00184.x. Epub 2010 Nov 3.
Initial public health responses to the 2009 influenza H1N1 pandemic were based on difficult decisions in the face of substantial uncertainty. Policy effectiveness depends critically on such decisions, and future planning for maximum protection of community health requires understanding of the impact of public health responses in observed scenarios.
In alignment with the objectives of the Pandemic Influenza Outbreak Research Modelling Team (Pan-InfORM) and the Centre for Disease Modelling (CDM), a focused workshop was organized to: (i) evaluate Canada's response to the spring and autumn waves of the novel H1N1 pandemic; (ii) learn lessons from public health responses, and identify challenges that await public health planners and decision-makers; and (iii) understand how best to integrate resources to overcome these challenges.
We report on key presentations and discussions that took place to achieve the objectives of the workshop.
Future emerging infectious diseases are likely to bring far greater challenges than those imposed by the 2009 H1N1 pandemic. Canada must address these challenges and enhance its capacity for emergency responses by integrating modelling, surveillance, planning, and decision-making.
2009 年甲型 H1N1 流感大流行初期的公共卫生应对措施是在面临巨大不确定性的情况下做出的艰难决策。政策的有效性取决于这些决策,为了最大限度地保护社区健康,未来的规划需要了解在观察到的情况下公共卫生应对措施的影响。
为了配合大流行性流感爆发研究建模小组(Pan-InfORM)和疾病建模中心(CDM)的目标,专门组织了一次重点研讨会,以:(i)评估加拿大对新型 H1N1 大流行的春季和秋季波的应对措施;(ii)从公共卫生应对措施中吸取经验教训,并确定公共卫生规划者和决策者面临的挑战;(iii)了解如何最好地整合资源以克服这些挑战。
我们报告了为实现研讨会目标而进行的主要介绍和讨论。
未来新出现的传染病可能带来比 2009 年 H1N1 流感大流行更大的挑战。加拿大必须通过整合建模、监测、规划和决策制定来应对这些挑战并增强其应急响应能力。