Myers Samuel S, Bernstein Aaron
F1000 Biol Rep. 2011 Feb 1;3:3. doi: 10.3410/B3-3.
Global climate change threatens the health of hundreds of millions of people. While much has been written about the direct impacts of climate change on health as a result of more severe storms, more intense heat stress, changes in the distribution of infectious disease, and reduced air quality, we are concerned that the indirect impacts of a disrupted climate system may be orders of magnitude more important in terms of the human suffering they cause. Because these indirect effects will result from changes in biophysical systems, which are inherently complex, there is significant uncertainty about their magnitude, timing, and location. However, the uncertainty that shrouds this issue should not be cause for complacency; rather it should serve as an organizing principle for adaptation to its ill effects.
全球气候变化威胁着数亿人的健康。虽然已有大量文献论述气候变化通过更严重的风暴、更强烈的热应激、传染病分布变化以及空气质量下降等对健康产生的直接影响,但我们担心,气候系统紊乱造成的间接影响,就其所导致的人类苦难而言,可能要重要得多。由于这些间接影响将源于本质上就很复杂的生物物理系统的变化,因此其规模、时间和地点存在很大不确定性。然而,笼罩这一问题的不确定性不应成为自满的理由;相反,它应成为应对其不良影响的一项指导原则。