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全球变暖是否可能导致疟疾发病率上升?

Is Global Warming likely to cause an increased incidence of Malaria?

机构信息

Department of Community Medicine, Lund University.

出版信息

Libyan J Med. 2009 Mar 1;4(1):18-22. doi: 10.4176/090105.

Abstract

The rise in the average temperature of earth has been described as global warming which is mainly attributed to the increasing phenomenon of the greenhouse effect. It is believed that global warming can have several harmful effects on human health, both directly and indirectly. Since malaria is greatly influenced by climatic conditions because of its direct relationship with the mosquito population, it is widely assumed that its incidence is likely to increase in a future warmer world.This review article discusses the two contradictory views regarding the association of global warming with an increased incidence of malaria. On one hand, there are many who believe that there is a strong association between the recent increase in malaria incidence and global warming. They predict that as global warming continues, malaria is set to spread in locations where previously it was limited, due to cooler climate. On the other hand, several theories have been put forward which are quite contrary to this prediction. There are multiple other factors which are accountable for the recent upsurge of malaria: for example drug resistance, mosquito control programs, public health facilities, and living standards.

摘要

地球平均温度的上升被描述为全球变暖,这主要归因于温室效应的日益加剧。人们认为,全球变暖会对人类健康产生多种直接和间接的有害影响。由于疟疾与蚊子种群直接相关,受气候条件的影响很大,因此人们普遍认为,在未来更温暖的世界里,疟疾的发病率可能会上升。本文讨论了有关全球变暖与疟疾发病率增加之间关联的两种相互矛盾的观点。一方面,有许多人认为,最近疟疾发病率的上升与全球变暖之间存在很强的关联。他们预测,随着全球变暖的持续,疟疾将在以前因气候较冷而受到限制的地区传播。另一方面,也提出了几种与这一预测完全相反的理论。最近疟疾的爆发还有其他多个原因:例如耐药性、蚊子控制计划、公共卫生设施和生活水平。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9111/3066711/e76f48e2ae30/LJM-4-018-g001.jpg

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