Barmak D H, Dorso C O, Otero M, Solari H G
Departamento de Física, Facultad de Ciencias Exactas y Naturales, Universidad de Buenos Aires and IFIBA, CONICET, Pabellón I, Ciudad Universitaria, Nuñez, 1428 Buenos Aires, Argentina.
Phys Rev E Stat Nonlin Soft Matter Phys. 2011 Jul;84(1 Pt 1):011901. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.84.011901. Epub 2011 Jul 1.
In this work we explore the effects of human mobility on the dispersion of a vector borne disease. We combine an already presented stochastic model for dengue with a simple representation of the daily motion of humans on a schematic city of 20 × 20 blocks with 100 inhabitants in each block. The pattern of motion of the individuals is described in terms of complex networks in which links connect different blocks and the link length distribution is in accordance with recent findings on human mobility. It is shown that human mobility can turn out to be the main driving force of the disease dispersal.
在这项工作中，我们探讨了人类流动对媒介传播疾病传播的影响。我们将一个已经提出的登革热随机模型与人类日常活动的简单表示相结合，该表示基于一个20×20街区的示意性城市，每个街区有100名居民。个体的运动模式用复杂网络来描述，其中链接连接不同的街区，链接长度分布符合最近关于人类流动的研究结果。结果表明，人类流动可能是疾病传播的主要驱动力。
