University of South Australia, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.
Milbank Q. 2012 Mar;90(1):47-106. doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0009.2011.00655.x.
Home-visiting programs have been offered for more than sixty years to at-risk families of newborns and infants. But despite decades of experience with program delivery, more than sixty published controlled trials, and more than thirty published literature reviews, there is still uncertainty surrounding the performance of these programs. Our particular interest was the performance of home visiting in reducing child maltreatment.
We developed a program logic framework to assist in understanding the neonate/infant home-visiting literature, identified through a systematic literature review. We tested whether success could be explained by the logic model using descriptive synthesis and statistical analysis.
Having a stated objective of reducing child maltreatment-a theory or mechanism of change underpinning the home-visiting program consistent with the target population and their needs and program components that can deliver against the nominated theory of change-considerably increased the chance of success. We found that only seven of fifty-three programs demonstrated such consistency, all of which had a statistically significant positive outcome, whereas of the fifteen that had no match, none was successful. Programs with a partial match had an intermediate success rate. The relationship between program success and full, partial or no match was statistically significant.
Employing a theory-driven approach provides a new way of understanding the disparate performance of neonate/infant home-visiting programs. Employing a similar theory-driven approach could also prove useful in the review of other programs that embody a diverse set of characteristics and may apply to diverse populations and settings. A program logic framework provides a rigorous approach to deriving policy-relevant meaning from effectiveness evidence of complex programs. For neonate/infant home-visiting programs, it means that in developing these programs, attention to consistency of objectives, theory of change, target population, and program components is critical.
为有风险的新生儿和婴儿家庭提供家访项目已经有六十多年的历史了。但尽管有几十年的项目实施经验、六十多个已发表的对照试验以及三十多个已发表的文献综述,这些项目的效果仍然存在不确定性。我们特别关注的是家庭探访在减少儿童虐待方面的效果。
我们开发了一个程序逻辑框架,以协助理解通过系统文献综述确定的新生儿/婴儿家访文献。我们使用描述性综合和统计分析来测试成功是否可以用逻辑模型来解释。
明确以减少儿童虐待为目标——这是一个与目标人群及其需求一致的、能够实现变化理论的家庭探访计划的理论或机制,以及能够针对提名的变化理论提供服务的计划组成部分——大大增加了成功的机会。我们发现,在五十三项计划中,只有七项符合这种一致性,所有这些计划都有统计学上显著的积极结果,而在十五项没有匹配的计划中,没有一项是成功的。有部分匹配的计划成功率居中。计划成功与完全、部分或无匹配之间的关系具有统计学意义。
采用理论驱动的方法为理解新生儿/婴儿家访计划的不同表现提供了一种新的途径。采用类似的理论驱动方法也可能对审查具有不同特征并可能适用于不同人群和环境的其他计划有用。程序逻辑框架为从复杂计划的有效性证据中得出与政策相关的意义提供了一种严格的方法。对于新生儿/婴儿家访计划,这意味着在开发这些计划时,必须注意目标、变化理论、目标人群和计划组成部分的一致性。