Impaired Driving Center, Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation, Calverton, MD 20705, USA.
J Stud Alcohol Drugs. 2012 May;73(3):341-50. doi: 10.15288/jsad.2012.73.341.
The purpose of this study was to determine whether the relative risk of being involved in an alcohol-related crash has changed over the decade from 1996 to 2007, a period during which there has been little evidence of a reduction in the percentage of all fatal crashes involving alcohol.
We compared blood-alcohol information for the 2006 and 2007 crash cases (N = 6,863, 22.8% of them women) drawn from the U.S. Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) with control blood-alcohol data from participants in the 2007 U.S. National Roadside Survey (N = 6,823). Risk estimates were computed and compared with those previously obtained from the 1996 FARS and roadside survey data.
Although the adult relative risk of being involved in a fatal alcohol-related crash apparently did not change from 1996 to 2007, the risk for involvement in an alcohol-related crash for underage women has increased to the point where it has become the same as that for underage men. Further, the risk that sober underage men will become involved in a fatal crash has doubled over the 1996-2007 period.
Compared with estimates obtained from a decade earlier, young women in this study are at an increased risk of involvement in alcohol-related crashes. Similarly, underage sober drivers in this study are more at risk of involvement in a crash than they were a decade earlier.
本研究旨在确定从 1996 年到 2007 年这十年间,与酒精相关的撞车事故的相对风险是否发生了变化,而在这段时间内,所有涉及酒精的致命撞车事故的百分比并没有明显减少的证据。
我们比较了从美国死亡分析报告系统(FARS)中抽取的 2006 年和 2007 年撞车案例(N=6863,其中 22.8%为女性)的血液酒精信息与 2007 年美国国家路边调查(N=6823)中参与者的对照血液酒精数据。计算了风险估计值,并与之前从 1996 年 FARS 和路边调查数据中获得的值进行了比较。
尽管成年人涉及致命酒精相关撞车事故的相对风险从 1996 年到 2007 年似乎没有变化,但未成年女性涉及与酒精相关的撞车事故的风险已增加到与未成年男性相同的水平。此外,在 1996-2007 年期间,未成年清醒男性发生致命撞车事故的风险增加了一倍。
与十年前的估计相比,本研究中的年轻女性涉及酒精相关撞车事故的风险增加。同样,本研究中的未成年清醒司机发生撞车事故的风险比十年前更高。