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采用多重插补方法为农业健康研究随访调查问卷中的未应答者分配农药使用情况。

Using multiple imputation to assign pesticide use for non-responders in the follow-up questionnaire in the Agricultural Health Study.

机构信息

Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Department of Health and Human Services, Rockville, MD, USA.

出版信息

J Expo Sci Environ Epidemiol. 2012 Jul;22(4):409-16. doi: 10.1038/jes.2012.31. Epub 2012 May 9.

Abstract

The Agricultural Health Study (AHS), a large prospective cohort, was designed to elucidate associations between pesticide use and other agricultural exposures and health outcomes. The cohort includes 57,310 pesticide applicators who were enrolled between 1993 and 1997 in Iowa and North Carolina. A follow-up questionnaire administered 5 years later was completed by 36,342 (63%) of the original participants. Missing pesticide use information from participants who did not complete the second questionnaire impedes both long-term pesticide exposure estimation and statistical inference of risk for health outcomes. Logistic regression and stratified sampling were used to impute key variables related to the use of specific pesticides for 20,968 applicators who did not complete the second questionnaire. To assess the imputation procedure, a 20% random sample of participants was withheld for comparison. The observed and imputed prevalence of any pesticide use in the holdout dataset were 85.7% and 85.3%, respectively. The distribution of prevalence and days/year of use for specific pesticides were similar across observed and imputed in the holdout sample. When appropriately implemented, multiple imputation can reduce bias and increase precision and can be more valid than other missing data approaches.

摘要

农业健康研究(AHS)是一项大型前瞻性队列研究,旨在阐明农药使用和其他农业暴露与健康结果之间的关联。该队列包括 1993 年至 1997 年在爱荷华州和北卡罗来纳州招募的 57310 名农药施用者。在最初的参与者中,有 36342 人(63%)完成了 5 年后进行的后续问卷调查。未完成第二份问卷的参与者缺少农药使用信息,这既妨碍了长期农药暴露的估计,也妨碍了对健康结果风险的统计推断。逻辑回归和分层抽样用于对未完成第二份问卷的 20968 名施用者进行与特定农药使用相关的关键变量的推断。为了评估推断程序,保留了 20%的随机参与者作为对照。在保留数据集中,实际和推断的任何农药使用的患病率分别为 85.7%和 85.3%。在保留样本中,特定农药的患病率和每年使用天数的分布在实际和推断之间相似。当正确实施时,多重插补可以减少偏差并提高精度,并且比其他缺失数据方法更有效。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3ec0/3396426/6fbcd7608845/nihms-382767-f0001.jpg

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