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饮用水中锂的地理空间分析与自杀死亡率。

Geospatial examination of lithium in drinking water and suicide mortality.

机构信息

Institute of Geography, University of Heidelberg, Berliner Strasse 48, D-69120 Heidelberg, Germany.

出版信息

Int J Health Geogr. 2012 Jun 13;11:19. doi: 10.1186/1476-072X-11-19.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Lithium as a substance occurring naturally in food and drinking water may exert positive effects on mental health. In therapeutic doses, which are more than 100 times higher than natural daily intakes, lithium has been proven to be a mood-stabilizer and suicide preventive. This study examined whether natural lithium content in drinking water is regionally associated with lower suicide rates.

METHODS

Previous statistical approaches were challenged by global and local spatial regression models taking spatial autocorrelation as well as non-stationarity into account. A Geographically Weighted Regression model was applied with significant independent variables as indicated by a spatial autoregressive model.

RESULTS

The association between lithium levels in drinking water and suicide mortality can be confirmed by the global spatial regression model. In addition, the local spatial regression model showed that the association was mainly driven by the eastern parts of Austria.

CONCLUSIONS

According to old anecdotic reports the results of this study support the hypothesis of positive effects of natural lithium intake on mental health. Both, the new methodological approach and the results relevant for health may open new avenues in the collaboration between Geographic Information Science, medicine, and even criminology, such as exploring the spatial association between violent or impulsive crime and lithium content in drinking water.

摘要

背景

锂作为一种自然存在于食物和饮用水中的物质,可能对心理健康产生积极影响。在治疗剂量下,锂的摄入量是自然每日摄入量的 100 多倍,已被证明具有稳定情绪和预防自杀的作用。本研究旨在探讨饮用水中的天然锂含量是否与较低的自杀率有关。

方法

本研究采用全局和局部空间回归模型,考虑了空间自相关和非平稳性,对先前的统计方法进行了挑战。应用具有空间自回归模型指示的显著自变量的地理加权回归模型。

结果

饮用水中锂水平与自杀死亡率之间的关联可以通过全局空间回归模型得到证实。此外,局部空间回归模型表明,这种关联主要是由奥地利东部地区驱动的。

结论

根据旧的轶事报道,本研究的结果支持了自然摄入锂对心理健康有积极影响的假设。新的方法学方法和与健康相关的结果可能为地理信息科学、医学,甚至犯罪学之间的合作开辟新途径,例如探索暴力或冲动犯罪与饮用水中锂含量之间的空间关联。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/0090/3441892/1a149c7ea572/1476-072X-11-19-1.jpg

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