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一项病例对照研究,估算酒精、药物和非法药物的事故风险。

A case-control study estimating accident risk for alcohol, medicines and illegal drugs.

机构信息

Department of Neuropsychology & Psychopharmacology, Faculty of Psychology and Neuroscience, Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2012;7(8):e43496. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0043496. Epub 2012 Aug 28.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

The aim of the present study was to assess the risk of having a traffic accident after using alcohol, single drugs, or a combination, and to determine the concentrations at which this risk is significantly increased.

METHODS

A population-based case-control study was carried out, collecting whole blood samples of both cases and controls, in which a number of drugs were detected. The risk of having an accident when under the influence of drugs was estimated using logistic regression adjusting for gender, age and time period of accident (cases)/sampling (controls). The main outcome measures were odds ratio (OR) for accident risk associated with single and multiple drug use. In total, 337 cases (negative: 176; positive: 161) and 2726 controls (negative: 2425; positive: 301) were included in the study.

RESULTS

Main findings were that 1) alcohol in general (all the concentrations together) caused an elevated crash risk; 2) cannabis in general also caused an increase in accident risk; at a cut-off of 2 ng/mL THC the risk of having an accident was four times the risk associated with the lowest THC concentrations; 3) when ranking the adjusted OR from lowest to highest risk, alcohol alone or in combination with other drugs was related to a very elevated crash risk, with the highest risk for stimulants combined with sedatives.

CONCLUSION

The study demonstrated a concentration-dependent crash risk for THC positive drivers. Alcohol and alcohol-drug combinations are by far the most prevalent substances in drivers and subsequently pose the largest risk in traffic, both in terms of risk and scope.

摘要

背景

本研究旨在评估使用酒精、单一药物或两者混合后发生交通事故的风险,并确定风险显著增加的浓度。

方法

进行了一项基于人群的病例对照研究,收集了病例和对照者的全血样本,检测了多种药物。使用逻辑回归调整性别、年龄和事故时间段(病例)/采样(对照),估计了在药物影响下发生事故的风险。主要观察指标是与单一和多种药物使用相关的事故风险的比值比(OR)。共有 337 例病例(阴性:176 例;阳性:161 例)和 2726 例对照(阴性:2425 例;阳性:301 例)纳入研究。

结果

主要发现是 1)总体酒精(所有浓度)导致碰撞风险升高;2)大麻也导致事故风险增加;在 THC 为 2 ng/mL 的截断值时,发生事故的风险是最低 THC 浓度相关风险的四倍;3)从最低到最高风险调整 OR 排序,单独使用酒精或与其他药物联合使用与非常高的碰撞风险相关,兴奋剂与镇静剂联合使用的风险最高。

结论

该研究表明,THC 阳性驾驶员的碰撞风险与浓度有关。酒精和酒精药物组合是迄今为止驾驶员中最常见的物质,因此在风险和范围方面对交通构成最大风险。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9bc6/3429508/f633c5689d81/pone.0043496.g001.jpg

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