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墨西哥男子外出移民对其劳务输出州生育率和婚姻的影响,1995-2000 年。

The impact of outmigration of men on fertility and marriage in the migrant-sending states of Mexico, 1995-2000.

机构信息

The University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA.

出版信息

Popul Stud (Camb). 2013;67(1):83-95. doi: 10.1080/00324728.2012.721518. Epub 2012 Sep 25.

DOI:10.1080/00324728.2012.721518
PMID:23009347
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC4418515/
Abstract

Using the 2000 Mexican Census, we examined whether the level of migration was associated with total fertility and the proportion of women married in 314 municipalities from seven traditional sending states. Across these municipalities, we observe lower fertility in higher-migration areas. Municipalities in the quartile with the highest levels of migration have total fertility more than half a child lower than municipalities in the lowest migration quartile. However, there are no differences in marital fertility by level of migration, indicating that lower proportions of women married account for lower total fertility in high-migration municipalities. In municipal-level regression models, lower sex ratios are associated with a lower proportion of women married, while there is an inverse association between education and marriage. The level of migration also has an independent association with marriage, suggesting that there may be changing ideas surrounding family formation in high-migration areas.

摘要

利用 2000 年墨西哥人口普查数据,我们研究了迁移水平是否与 7 个传统输出州的 314 个城市的总生育率和已婚妇女比例有关。在这些城市中,我们观察到高迁移地区的生育率较低。迁移水平最高的四分位数城市的总生育率比迁移水平最低的四分位数城市低了半个多孩子。然而,迁移水平对已婚生育率没有差异,这表明高迁移城市中已婚妇女比例较低导致了总生育率较低。在市级回归模型中,较低的性别比例与较低的已婚妇女比例有关,而教育与婚姻呈负相关。迁移水平也与婚姻有独立的关联,这表明在高迁移地区,围绕家庭形成的观念可能正在发生变化。

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