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解释俄罗斯阿尔汉格尔斯克2005年至2010年期间行人与机动车碰撞事故减少的原因。

Explaining reduction of pedestrian-motor vehicle crashes in Arkhangelsk, Russia, in 2005-2010.

作者信息

Kudryavtsev Alexander V, Nilssen Odd, Lund Johan, Grjibovski Andrej M, Ytterstad Børge

机构信息

Department of Community Medicine, University of Tromsø, Tromsø, Norway.

出版信息

Int J Circumpolar Health. 2012;71:19107. doi: 10.3402/ijch.v71i0.19107. Epub 2012 Sep 24.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

To explain a reduction in pedestrian-motor vehicle crashes in Arkhangelsk, Russia, in 2005-2010.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective ecological study.

METHODS

For 2005-2010, police data on pedestrian-motor vehicle crashes, traffic violations, and total motor vehicles (MVs) were combined with data on changes in national road traffic legislation and municipal road infrastructure. Negative binomial regression was used to investigate trends in monthly rates of pedestrian-motor vehicle crashes per total MVs and estimate changes in these rates per unit changes in the safety measures.

RESULTS

During the 6 years, the police registered 2,565 pedestrian-motor vehicle crashes: 1,597 (62%) outside crosswalks, 766 (30%) on non-signalized crosswalks, and 202 (8%) on signalized crosswalks. Crash rates outside crosswalks and on signalized crosswalks decreased on average by 1.1% per month, whereas the crash rate on non-signalized crosswalks remained unchanged. Numbers of signalized and non-signalized crosswalks increased by 14 and 19%, respectively. Also, 10% of non-signalized crosswalks were combined with speed humps, and 4% with light-reflecting vertical signs. Pedestrian penalties for traffic violations increased 4-fold. Driver penalties for ignoring prohibiting signal and failure to give way to pedestrian on non-signalized crosswalk increased 7- and 8-fold, respectively. The rate of total registered drivers' traffic violations per total MVs decreased on average by 0.3% per month. All studied infrastructure and legislative measures had inverse associations with the rate of crashes outside crosswalks. The rate of crashes on signalized crosswalks showed inverse associations with related monetary penalties.

CONCLUSIONS

The introduction of infrastructure and legislative measures is the most probable explanation of the reduction of pedestrian-motor vehicle crashes in Arkhangelsk. The overall reduction is due to decreases in rates of crashes outside crosswalks and on signalized crosswalks. No change was observed in the rate of crashes on non-signalized crosswalks.

摘要

目的

解释2005 - 2010年俄罗斯阿尔汉格尔斯克市行人 - 机动车碰撞事故减少的原因。

研究设计

回顾性生态学研究。

方法

收集2005 - 2010年警方关于行人 - 机动车碰撞事故、交通违规以及机动车总数的数据,并结合国家道路交通法规和市政道路基础设施变化的数据。采用负二项回归分析每辆机动车的行人 - 机动车碰撞事故月发生率趋势,并估计安全措施每单位变化时这些发生率的变化。

结果

在这6年期间,警方记录了2565起行人 - 机动车碰撞事故:1597起(62%)发生在人行横道外,766起(30%)发生在无信号灯的人行横道上,202起(8%)发生在有信号灯的人行横道上。人行横道外和有信号灯的人行横道上的碰撞事故发生率平均每月下降1.1%,而无信号灯的人行横道上的碰撞事故发生率保持不变。有信号灯和无信号灯的人行横道数量分别增加了14%和19%。此外,10%的无信号灯人行横道设置了减速带,4%设置了反光垂直标志。对行人交通违规的处罚增加了4倍。对司机在无信号灯人行横道上无视禁止信号和未给行人让路的处罚分别增加了7倍和8倍。每辆机动车登记的司机交通违规总数平均每月下降0.3%。所有研究的基础设施和立法措施与人行横道外的碰撞事故发生率呈负相关。有信号灯的人行横道上的碰撞事故发生率与相关金钱处罚呈负相关。

结论

基础设施和立法措施的引入最有可能解释阿尔汉格尔斯克市行人 - 机动车碰撞事故减少的原因。总体减少是由于人行横道外和有信号灯的人行横道上的碰撞事故发生率下降。无信号灯的人行横道上的碰撞事故发生率未观察到变化。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/b9be/3458260/3b2a2007c2db/IJCH-71-19107-g001.jpg

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