Department of Geography and Environmental Systems, University of Maryland, Baltimore County, Baltimore, MD 21250, USA.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2013 May 14;110(20):7978-85. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1217241110. Epub 2013 Apr 29.
Human use of land has transformed ecosystem pattern and process across most of the terrestrial biosphere, a global change often described as historically recent and potentially catastrophic for both humanity and the biosphere. Interdisciplinary paleoecological, archaeological, and historical studies challenge this view, indicating that land use has been extensive and sustained for millennia in some regions and that recent trends may represent as much a recovery as an acceleration. Here we synthesize recent scientific evidence and theory on the emergence, history, and future of land use as a process transforming the Earth System and use this to explain why relatively small human populations likely caused widespread and profound ecological changes more than 3,000 y ago, whereas the largest and wealthiest human populations in history are using less arable land per person every decade. Contrasting two spatially explicit global reconstructions of land-use history shows that reconstructions incorporating adaptive changes in land-use systems over time, including land-use intensification, offer a more spatially detailed and plausible assessment of our planet's history, with a biosphere and perhaps even climate long ago affected by humans. Although land-use processes are now shifting rapidly from historical patterns in both type and scale, integrative global land-use models that incorporate dynamic adaptations in human-environment relationships help to advance our understanding of both past and future land-use changes, including their sustainability and potential global effects.
人类对土地的利用已经改变了大部分陆地生物圈的生态系统格局和过程,这种全球性变化通常被描述为历史上最近发生的,对人类和生物圈都具有潜在灾难性的变化。跨学科的古生态学、考古学和历史学研究挑战了这一观点,表明在一些地区,土地利用已经广泛存在并持续了数千年,而且最近的趋势可能代表着一种恢复而不是加速。在这里,我们综合了最近关于土地利用作为一种改变地球系统的过程的出现、历史和未来的科学证据和理论,并以此来解释为什么相对较小的人口在 3000 多年前可能已经引起了广泛而深刻的生态变化,而历史上最大和最富有的人口每十年使用的耕地却越来越少。对比两个具有空间显式的土地利用历史重建结果表明,将土地利用系统随时间变化的适应性变化(包括土地利用集约化)纳入其中的重建结果,提供了对我们星球历史的更详细和更合理的评估,表明很久以前生物圈甚至气候就已经受到了人类的影响。尽管土地利用过程现在在类型和规模上都从历史模式迅速转变,但包含人类与环境关系中动态适应性的综合全球土地利用模型有助于增进我们对过去和未来土地利用变化的理解,包括其可持续性和潜在的全球影响。