Department of Physical Geography and Ecosystem Science, Geobiosphere Science Centre, Lund University, Sölvegatan 12, 223 62, Lund, Sweden,
Ambio. 2014 Mar;43(2):175-90. doi: 10.1007/s13280-013-0428-0. Epub 2013 Aug 8.
Although food crop yields per hectare have generally been increasing in Cameroon since 1961, the food price crisis of 2008 and the ensuing social unrest and fatalities raised concerns about the country's ability to meet the food needs of its population. This study examines the country's potential for increasing crop yields and food production to meet this food security challenge. Fuzzy set theory is used to develop a biophysical spatial suitability model for different crops, which in turn is employed to ascertain whether crop production is carried out in biophysically suited areas. We use linear regression to examine the trend of yield development over the last half century. On the basis of yield data from experimental stations and farmers' fields we assess the yield gap for major food crops. We find that yields have generally been increasing over the last half century and that agricultural policies can have significant effects on them. To a large extent, food crops are cultivated in areas that are biophysically suited for their cultivation, meaning that the yield gap is not a problem of biophysical suitability. Notwithstanding, there are significantly large yield gaps between actual yields on farmers' farms and maximum attainable yields from research stations. We conclude that agronomy and policies are likely to be the reasons for these large yield gaps. A key challenge to be addressed in closing the yield gaps is that of replenishing and properly managing soil nutrients.
尽管自 1961 年以来,喀麦隆的每公顷粮食作物产量总体上一直在增加,但 2008 年的粮食价格危机以及随后的社会动荡和人员死亡事件,使人们对该国满足其人口粮食需求的能力产生了担忧。本研究考察了该国提高作物产量和粮食生产以应对这一粮食安全挑战的潜力。模糊集理论被用于为不同作物开发生物物理空间适宜性模型,该模型反过来又用于确定作物生产是否在生物物理适宜的地区进行。我们使用线性回归来检验过去半个世纪以来的产量发展趋势。根据来自实验站和农民田间的产量数据,我们评估了主要粮食作物的产量差距。我们发现,在过去的半个世纪里,产量总体上一直在增加,农业政策对产量有显著影响。在很大程度上,粮食作物是在适合其生长的生物物理条件下种植的,这意味着产量差距不是生物物理适宜性的问题。尽管如此,农民田间的实际产量与研究站的最高可达到产量之间仍存在显著的产量差距。我们得出的结论是,农学和政策可能是造成这些产量差距的原因。缩小产量差距的一个关键挑战是补充和妥善管理土壤养分。