Greco T, Zangrillo A, Biondi-Zoccai G, Landoni G
Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care, San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy ; Section of Medical Statistics and Biometry Giulio A. Maccacaro, Department of Occupational and Environmental Health, University of Milan, Milan, Italy.
Department of Anesthesia and Intensive Care, San Raffaele Scientific Institute, Milan, Italy.
Heart Lung Vessel. 2013;5(4):219-25.
The present work is an overview of the main pitfalls which may occur when a researcher performs a meta-analysis. The main goal is to help clinicians evaluate published research results. Organizing and carrying out a meta-analysis is hard work, but the findings can be significant. Meta-analysis is a powerful tool to cumulate and summarize the knowledge in a research field, and to identify the overall measure of a treatment's effect by combining several conclusions. However, it is a controversial tool, because even small violations of certain rules can lead to misleading conclusions. In fact, several decisions made when designing and performing a meta-analysis require personal judgment and expertise, thus creating personal biases or expectations that may influence the result. Meta-analysis' conclusions should be interpreted in the light of various checks, discussed in this work, which can inform the readers of the likely reliability of the conclusions. Specifically, we explore the principal steps (from writing a prospective protocol of analysis to results' interpretation) in order to minimize the risk of conducting a mediocre meta-analysis and to support researchers to accurately evaluate the published findings.
本研究概述了研究人员进行荟萃分析时可能出现的主要陷阱。主要目的是帮助临床医生评估已发表的研究结果。组织和开展荟萃分析是一项艰巨的工作,但研究结果可能意义重大。荟萃分析是一种强大的工具,可用于积累和总结研究领域的知识,并通过综合多个结论来确定治疗效果的总体衡量标准。然而,它是一种有争议的工具,因为即使对某些规则的微小违反也可能导致误导性结论。事实上,在设计和进行荟萃分析时做出的几个决策需要个人判断和专业知识,从而产生可能影响结果的个人偏见或期望。荟萃分析的结论应根据本研究中讨论的各种检查来解释,这些检查可以让读者了解结论可能的可靠性。具体而言,我们探讨了主要步骤(从撰写前瞻性分析方案到结果解释),以尽量减少进行平庸荟萃分析的风险,并支持研究人员准确评估已发表的研究结果。