Department of Biological Science, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL 32306.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2014 Jan 14;111(2):581-4. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1305853111. Epub 2013 Dec 23.
Overfishing and environmental change have triggered many severe and unexpected consequences. As existing communities have collapsed, new ones have become established, fundamentally transforming ecosystems to those that are often less productive for fisheries, more prone to cycles of booms and busts, and thus less manageable. We contend that the failure of fisheries science and management to anticipate these transformations results from a lack of appreciation for the nature, strength, complexity, and outcome of species interactions. Ecologists have come to understand that networks of interacting species exhibit nonlinear dynamics and feedback loops that can produce sudden and unexpected shifts. We argue that fisheries science and management must follow this lead by developing a sharper focus on species interactions and how disrupting these interactions can push ecosystems in which fisheries are embedded past their tipping points.
过度捕捞和环境变化已经引发了许多严重且意想不到的后果。随着现有社区的崩溃,新的社区已经建立起来,这从根本上改变了生态系统,使渔业的生产力降低,更容易出现繁荣和萧条的循环,因此更难管理。我们认为,渔业科学和管理未能预测到这些变化,是因为它们缺乏对物种相互作用的性质、强度、复杂性和结果的认识。生态学家已经开始明白,相互作用的物种网络表现出非线性动态和反馈循环,这些动态和反馈循环可能导致突然和意想不到的转变。我们认为,渔业科学和管理必须紧跟这一趋势,更加关注物种相互作用,以及破坏这些相互作用如何将渔业所嵌入的生态系统推向临界点。