Kowa Company, LTD., Tokyo, Japan.
Stat Med. 2014 Jun 15;33(13):2288-96. doi: 10.1002/sim.6147. Epub 2014 Mar 19.
In this paper, we propose two new methods for computing confidence intervals for the difference of two independent binomial proportions in small sample cases. Several test-based exact confidence intervals have been developed to guarantee the nominal coverage probability in small sample cases. However, these methods are sometimes unnecessarily too conservative because they use the exact p-value for constructing confidence intervals by maximizing the tail probability to account for the worst configuration. In order to reduce conservatism, our new methods adopt the p-value weighted by two types of functions instead of the maximum p-value. Our proposed methods can be regarded as quasi-exact methods. The performance evaluation results showed that our methods are much less conservative than the exact method. Compared with other existing quasi-exact methods, generally, our methods possess coverage probabilities closer to the nominal confidence level and shorter expected confidence widths. In particular, the beta weighing method provides the most reasonable balance between accurate coverage probability and short interval width in small sample cases.
在本文中,我们提出了两种新的方法,用于计算小样本情况下两个独立二项式比例之差的置信区间。已经开发了几种基于检验的精确置信区间,以保证小样本情况下的名义覆盖率。然而,这些方法有时过于保守,因为它们使用精确的 p 值通过最大化尾部概率来构建置信区间,以考虑最坏的配置。为了降低保守性,我们的新方法采用了两种类型的函数加权的 p 值,而不是最大的 p 值。我们提出的方法可以看作是准精确方法。性能评估结果表明,我们的方法比精确方法保守性小得多。与其他现有的准精确方法相比,通常,我们的方法具有更接近名义置信水平的覆盖率概率和更短的预期置信宽度。特别是,β加权法在小样本情况下在准确的覆盖率概率和短的区间宽度之间提供了最合理的平衡。