Pan Xue, Hou Lei, Stephen Mutua, Yang Huijie, Zhu Chenping
Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, China.
Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, China; Computer Science Department, Masinde Muliro University of Science and Technology, Kakamega, Kenya.
PLoS One. 2014 Dec 30;9(12):e116128. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0116128. eCollection 2014.
Scaling invariance of time series has been making great contributions in diverse research fields. But how to evaluate scaling exponent from a real-world series is still an open problem. Finite length of time series may induce unacceptable fluctuation and bias to statistical quantities and consequent invalidation of currently used standard methods. In this paper a new concept called correlation-dependent balanced estimation of diffusion entropy is developed to evaluate scale-invariance in very short time series with length ~10(2). Calculations with specified Hurst exponent values of 0.2,0.3,...,0.9 show that by using the standard central moving average de-trending procedure this method can evaluate the scaling exponents for short time series with ignorable bias (≤0.03) and sharp confidential interval (standard deviation ≤0.05). Considering the stride series from ten volunteers along an approximate oval path of a specified length, we observe that though the averages and deviations of scaling exponents are close, their evolutionary behaviors display rich patterns. It has potential use in analyzing physiological signals, detecting early warning signals, and so on. As an emphasis, the our core contribution is that by means of the proposed method one can estimate precisely shannon entropy from limited records.
时间序列的尺度不变性在不同研究领域做出了巨大贡献。但如何从实际序列中评估标度指数仍是一个未解决的问题。时间序列的有限长度可能会给统计量带来不可接受的波动和偏差,从而导致当前使用的标准方法失效。本文提出了一种新的概念,即基于相关性的扩散熵平衡估计,用于评估长度约为10²的极短时间序列中的尺度不变性。对指定赫斯特指数值为0.2、0.3、...、0.9的计算表明,通过使用标准的中心移动平均去趋势程序,该方法可以评估短时间序列的标度指数,偏差可忽略不计(≤0.03),置信区间较窄(标准差≤0.05)。考虑十名志愿者沿指定长度的近似椭圆形路径的步幅序列,我们观察到,尽管标度指数的平均值和偏差相近,但其演化行为呈现出丰富的模式。它在分析生理信号、检测预警信号等方面具有潜在应用。重点在于,我们的核心贡献是通过所提出的方法能够从有限记录中精确估计香农熵。