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不同反馈类型对重复货币赌博中信息整合的影响。

Effects of different feedback types on information integration in repeated monetary gambles.

机构信息

Graduate School of Decision Sciences, Department of Psychology, Universität Konstanz Konstanz, Germany.

出版信息

Front Psychol. 2015 Jan 23;5:1597. doi: 10.3389/fpsyg.2014.01597. eCollection 2014.

Abstract

Most models of risky decision making assume that all relevant information is taken into account (e.g., von Neumann and Morgenstern, 1944; Kahneman and Tversky, 1979). However, there are also some models supposing that only part of the information is considered (e.g., Brandstätter et al., 2006; Gigerenzer and Gaissmaier, 2011). To further investigate the amount of information that is usually used for decision making, and how the use depends on feedback, we conducted a series of three experiments in which participants choose between two lotteries and where no feedback, outcome feedback, and error feedback was provided, respectively. The results show that without feedback participants mostly chose the lottery with the higher winning probability, and largely ignored the potential gains. The same results occurred when the outcome of each decision was fed back. Only after presenting error feedback (i.e., signaling whether a choice was optimal or not), participants considered probabilities as well as gains, resulting in more optimal choices. We propose that outcome feedback was ineffective, because of its probabilistic and ambiguous nature. Participants improve information integration only if provided with a consistent and deterministic signal such as error feedback.

摘要

大多数风险决策模型都假设所有相关信息都被考虑在内(例如,冯·诺依曼和摩根斯坦,1944 年;卡尼曼和特沃斯基,1979 年)。然而,也有一些模型假设只考虑部分信息(例如,Brandstätter 等人,2006 年;Gigerenzer 和 Gaissmaier,2011 年)。为了进一步研究通常用于决策的信息量,以及这种使用如何依赖于反馈,我们进行了一系列三个实验,其中参与者在两个彩票之间进行选择,分别提供无反馈、结果反馈和错误反馈。结果表明,没有反馈时,参与者大多选择中奖概率较高的彩票,而很大程度上忽略了潜在收益。当每个决策的结果得到反馈时,也会出现相同的结果。只有在呈现错误反馈(即指示选择是否最优)后,参与者才会考虑概率和收益,从而做出更优的选择。我们提出,结果反馈无效,因为它具有概率性和模糊性。只有当提供一致和确定性的信号(例如错误反馈)时,参与者才能改善信息整合。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/f4e5/4304240/15a415021257/fpsyg-05-01597-g0001.jpg

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