儿童近视患病率的全球差异和时间趋势:一项系统评价与定量荟萃分析:对病因学和早期预防的启示

Global variations and time trends in the prevalence of childhood myopia, a systematic review and quantitative meta-analysis: implications for aetiology and early prevention.

作者信息

Rudnicka Alicja R, Kapetanakis Venediktos V, Wathern Andrea K, Logan Nicola S, Gilmartin Bernard, Whincup Peter H, Cook Derek G, Owen Christopher G

机构信息

Population Health Research Institute, St George's, University of London, London, UK.

School of Life and Health Sciences, Aston University, Birmingham, UK.

出版信息

Br J Ophthalmol. 2016 Jul;100(7):882-890. doi: 10.1136/bjophthalmol-2015-307724. Epub 2016 Jan 22.

Abstract

The aim of this review was to quantify the global variation in childhood myopia prevalence over time taking account of demographic and study design factors. A systematic review identified population-based surveys with estimates of childhood myopia prevalence published by February 2015. Multilevel binomial logistic regression of log odds of myopia was used to examine the association with age, gender, urban versus rural setting and survey year, among populations of different ethnic origins, adjusting for study design factors. 143 published articles (42 countries, 374 349 subjects aged 1-18 years, 74 847 myopia cases) were included. Increase in myopia prevalence with age varied by ethnicity. East Asians showed the highest prevalence, reaching 69% (95% credible intervals (CrI) 61% to 77%) at 15 years of age (86% among Singaporean-Chinese). Blacks in Africa had the lowest prevalence; 5.5% at 15 years (95% CrI 3% to 9%). Time trends in myopia prevalence over the last decade were small in whites, increased by 23% in East Asians, with a weaker increase among South Asians. Children from urban environments have 2.6 times the odds of myopia compared with those from rural environments. In whites and East Asians sex differences emerge at about 9 years of age; by late adolescence girls are twice as likely as boys to be myopic. Marked ethnic differences in age-specific prevalence of myopia exist. Rapid increases in myopia prevalence over time, particularly in East Asians, combined with a universally higher risk of myopia in urban settings, suggest that environmental factors play an important role in myopia development, which may offer scope for prevention.

摘要

本综述的目的是在考虑人口统计学和研究设计因素的情况下,量化全球儿童近视患病率随时间的变化。一项系统综述确定了截至2015年2月发表的基于人群的儿童近视患病率估计调查。采用近视对数几率的多水平二项逻辑回归,在不同种族人群中,调整研究设计因素,研究与年龄、性别、城乡环境和调查年份的关联。纳入了143篇已发表文章(42个国家,374349名1至18岁受试者,74847例近视病例)。近视患病率随年龄的增加因种族而异。东亚人患病率最高,15岁时达到69%(95%可信区间(CrI)61%至77%)(新加坡华人中为86%)。非洲黑人患病率最低;15岁时为5.5%(95%CrI 3%至9%)。过去十年中,白人近视患病率的时间趋势较小,东亚人增加了23%,南亚人增加较弱。城市环境中的儿童患近视的几率是农村环境中儿童的2.6倍。在白人和东亚人中,性别差异在大约9岁时出现;到青春期后期,女孩患近视的可能性是男孩的两倍。近视患病率在特定年龄存在显著的种族差异。随着时间的推移,近视患病率迅速上升,尤其是在东亚人中,再加上城市环境中普遍较高的近视风险,表明环境因素在近视发展中起重要作用,这可能为预防提供空间。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/bdca/4941141/241b4746dce4/bjophthalmol-2015-307724f01.jpg

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