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运用结构方程模型分析 320 起煤矿事故,将规则和规章的不安全条件作为外生变量。

Analysis 320 coal mine accidents using structural equation modeling with unsafe conditions of the rules and regulations as exogenous variables.

机构信息

School of Management, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao 272000, Republic of China.

School of Management, Qufu Normal University, Rizhao 272000, Republic of China.

出版信息

Accid Anal Prev. 2016 Jul;92:189-201. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2016.02.021. Epub 2016 Apr 14.

DOI:10.1016/j.aap.2016.02.021
PMID:27085591
Abstract

Mining has been historically considered as a naturally high-risk industry worldwide. Deaths caused by coal mine accidents are more than the sum of all other accidents in China. Statistics of 320 coal mine accidents in Shandong province show that all accidents contain indicators of "unsafe conditions of the rules and regulations" with a frequency of 1590, accounting for 74.3% of the total frequency of 2140. "Unsafe behaviors of the operator" is another important contributory factor, which mainly includes "operator error" and "venturing into dangerous places." A systems analysis approach was applied by using structural equation modeling (SEM) to examine the interactions between the contributory factors of coal mine accidents. The analysis of results leads to three conclusions. (i) "Unsafe conditions of the rules and regulations," affect the "unsafe behaviors of the operator," "unsafe conditions of the equipment," and "unsafe conditions of the environment." (ii) The three influencing factors of coal mine accidents (with the frequency of effect relation in descending order) are "lack of safety education and training," "rules and regulations of safety production responsibility," and "rules and regulations of supervision and inspection." (iii) The three influenced factors (with the frequency in descending order) of coal mine accidents are "venturing into dangerous places," "poor workplace environment," and "operator error."

摘要

矿业在全球范围内一直被认为是一个高风险的行业。中国煤矿事故造成的死亡人数超过其他所有事故的总和。山东省 320 起煤矿事故的统计数据显示,所有事故都包含“违反规定的不安全条件”指标,频率为 1590,占 2140 总频率的 74.3%。“操作人员的不安全行为”是另一个重要的促成因素,主要包括“操作人员失误”和“冒险进入危险区域”。本文采用结构方程模型(SEM)对煤矿事故的促成因素之间的相互作用进行了系统分析。结果分析得出三个结论。(i)“违反规定的不安全条件”会影响“操作人员的不安全行为”、“设备的不安全条件”和“环境的不安全条件”。(ii)煤矿事故的三个影响因素(按影响频率降序排列)是“缺乏安全教育和培训”、“安全生产责任制规定”和“监督检查规定”。(iii)煤矿事故的三个受影响因素(按影响频率降序排列)是“冒险进入危险区域”、“工作场所环境差”和“操作人员失误”。

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