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运用ISM-ANP-SD 组合模型探究煤矿安全系统影响因素的作用机制及干预策略。

Using the ISM-ANP-SD combination model to explore the mechanism and intervention strategies of influencing factors of coal mine safety system.

机构信息

School of Management and Economics, North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power, Zhengzhou, China.

College of Information and Management Science, Henan Agricultural University, Zhengzhou, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2022 Nov 23;10:1053298. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.1053298. eCollection 2022.

DOI:10.3389/fpubh.2022.1053298
PMID:36504987
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC9731289/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

With the intelligent construction of coal mines, the number of coal mine accidents is gradually decreasing, but the complexity of accidents is increasing. Understanding the interaction mechanism among the influencing factors of the coal mine safety system is an essential part of improving and enhancing the safety of the coal mine system.

METHODS

The descriptive, structural model-network hierarchical analysis (ISM-ANP) was used to explore the interaction between the factors influencing the coal mine safety system and determine each factor's importance. A system dynamics simulation model was constructed to clarify the mechanism of each factor's effect on the safety system.

RESULTS

The results show that Individual miners' factors directly influence coal mine system safety, organizational management factors, and group factors indirectly influence system safety and play the role of macro regulation. The intelligent system is the most profound factor influencing system safety. There are apparent differences in the influence of different subsystems on system safety, with organizational management having the most significant influence on system safety, followed by individual miners and group factors, and intelligent system factors and external environmental factors having a more negligible influence on system safety.

CONCLUSION

There is a complex interaction between the factors affecting the safety of the coal mine system, and there are apparent differences in the influence of different subsystems on the safety level of the coal mine system. This study puts forward the intervention strategy to improve the safety of the coal mine system, which provides theoretical support and method guidance for preventing coal mine accidents and improving the safety level of the coal mine system.

摘要

背景

随着煤矿智能化建设的推进,煤矿事故数量逐渐减少,但事故的复杂性却在增加。了解煤矿安全系统影响因素之间的相互作用机制是改善和提高煤矿系统安全性的重要组成部分。

方法

采用描述性、结构模型-网络层次分析法(ISM-ANP)来探索影响煤矿安全系统的因素之间的相互作用关系,并确定各因素的重要性。构建系统动力学仿真模型,阐明各因素对安全系统的作用机制。

结果

结果表明,个体矿工因素直接影响煤矿系统安全,组织管理因素和群体因素间接影响系统安全,发挥宏观调控作用。智能系统是影响系统安全最深刻的因素。不同子系统对系统安全的影响存在明显差异,其中组织管理对系统安全的影响最大,其次是个体矿工和群体因素,智能系统因素和外部环境因素对系统安全的影响较小。

结论

影响煤矿系统安全的因素之间存在复杂的相互作用关系,不同子系统对煤矿系统安全水平的影响存在明显差异。本研究提出了提高煤矿系统安全性的干预策略,为预防煤矿事故和提高煤矿系统安全水平提供了理论支持和方法指导。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/75d7/9731289/14c7c507c3de/fpubh-10-1053298-g0012.jpg
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