Luquiens Amandine, Tanguy Marie-Laure, Benyamina Amine, Lagadec Marthylle, Aubin Henri-Jean, Reynaud Michel
Hôpital Paul Brousse, AP-HP, Villejuif, France.
University Paris Sud, Paris, France.
Int J Methods Psychiatr Res. 2016 Dec;25(4):333-342. doi: 10.1002/mpr.1510. Epub 2016 May 19.
The aim was to develop and validate an instrument to track online problem poker gamblers with player account-based gambling data (PABGD). We emailed an invitation to all active poker gamblers on the online gambling service provider Winamax. The 14,261 participants completed the Problem Gambling Severity Index (PGSI). PGSI served as a gold standard to track problem gamblers (i.e., PGSI ≥ 5). We used a stepwise logistic regression to build a predictive model of problem gambling with PABGD, and validated it. Of the sample 18% was composed of online poker problem gamblers. The risk factors of problem gambling included in the predictive model were being male, compulsive, younger than 28 years, making a total deposit > 0 euros, having a mean loss per gambling session > 1.7 euros, losing a total of > 45 euros in the last 30 days, having a total stake > 298 euros, having > 60 gambling sessions in the last 30 days, and multi-tabling. The tracking instrument had a sensitivity of 80%, and a specificity of 50%. The quality of the instrument was good. This study illustrates the feasibility of a method to develop and validate instruments to track online problem gamblers with PABGD only. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
目的是开发并验证一种利用玩家账户赌博数据(PABGD)追踪在线问题扑克玩家的工具。我们向在线赌博服务提供商Winamax上所有活跃的扑克玩家发送了邀请邮件。14261名参与者完成了问题赌博严重程度指数(PGSI)测评。PGSI作为追踪问题赌徒的黄金标准(即PGSI≥5)。我们使用逐步逻辑回归构建了一个基于PABGD的问题赌博预测模型,并进行了验证。样本中18%为在线扑克问题玩家。预测模型中包含的问题赌博风险因素有男性、强迫性、年龄小于28岁、总存款>0欧元、每次赌博平均损失>1.7欧元、过去30天内总损失>45欧元、总赌注>298欧元、过去30天内赌博场次>60次以及多桌游戏。该追踪工具的灵敏度为80%,特异度为50%。该工具质量良好。本研究说明了仅利用PABGD开发并验证追踪在线问题赌徒工具的方法的可行性。版权所有©2016约翰·威利父子有限公司。