Department of Genetics, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York 10461, USA.
Department of Ophthalmology &Visual Sciences, Albert Einstein College of Medicine, Bronx, New York 10461, USA.
Nature. 2016 Oct 13;538(7624):257-259. doi: 10.1038/nature19793. Epub 2016 Oct 5.
Driven by technological progress, human life expectancy has increased greatly since the nineteenth century. Demographic evidence has revealed an ongoing reduction in old-age mortality and a rise of the maximum age at death, which may gradually extend human longevity. Together with observations that lifespan in various animal species is flexible and can be increased by genetic or pharmaceutical intervention, these results have led to suggestions that longevity may not be subject to strict, species-specific genetic constraints. Here, by analysing global demographic data, we show that improvements in survival with age tend to decline after age 100, and that the age at death of the world's oldest person has not increased since the 1990s. Our results strongly suggest that the maximum lifespan of humans is fixed and subject to natural constraints.
受技术进步的推动,自 19 世纪以来,人类的预期寿命大大延长。人口统计数据显示,老年死亡率持续下降,死亡的最高年龄上升,这可能会逐渐延长人类的寿命。此外,各种动物物种的寿命是灵活的,可以通过遗传或药物干预来延长,这些结果表明,寿命可能不受严格的、特定于物种的遗传限制。在这里,我们通过分析全球人口统计数据,表明随着年龄的增长,生存状况的改善往往在 100 岁后趋于下降,而且自 20 世纪 90 年代以来,世界上最长寿者的死亡年龄并没有增加。我们的研究结果强烈表明,人类的最大寿命是固定的,并受到自然限制。