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美国道路上发生致命机动车碰撞事故时,后排成年乘客死亡率的相关因素。

Factors associated with mortality in rear-seated adult passengers involved in fatal motor vehicle crashes on US roadways.

作者信息

Raneses Eli, Pressley Joyce C

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology, Columbia University, 722 West 168th St., New York, NY, 10032, USA.

Department of Health Policy and Management, Columbia University, 722 West 168th St., New York, NY, 10032, USA.

出版信息

Inj Epidemiol. 2015 Dec;2(1):5. doi: 10.1186/s40621-015-0036-5. Epub 2015 Mar 19.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Recent efforts to pass rear seat belt laws for adults have been hampered by large gaps in the scientific literature. This study examines driver, vehicle, crash, and passenger characteristics associated with mortality in rear-seated adult passengers.

METHODS

The Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) 2010 to 2011 was used to examine motor vehicle occupant mortality in rear-seated adult passengers 18 years and older. Side crash vehicle safety ratings were assessed in a subset analysis of vehicles struck on the same side as the rear-seated passenger. Multilevel logistic regression models used SAS GLIMMIX.

RESULTS

Of the 7,229 rear-seated adult passengers, 2,091 (28.9%) died. Multivariable predictors of increased mortality were advancing passenger age, younger driver age, excessive speed, ejection, being unbelted, rear impact, and same-side crash. Belt use was associated with a 67.0% reduction in total mortality. Despite this, belt wearing was low (48.1%) and differed by seating position, with less than one third of middle-seated passengers belted. Multivariable analysis showed mortality to be nearly three times higher in same-side crashes than other impact locations (odds ratio (OR) = 2.76, 2.22, 3.44). In a multivariable subpopulation analysis of same-side crashes, right-seated passengers had an increased mortality (52.7% vs. 43.2%, p < 0.01) compared to left-seated passengers (OR = 1.55, 1.02, 2.36). Vehicle side crash safety ratings, available for 27.7% (n = 172) of same-side crashes, were not predictive of mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Except for same-side crashes, seat belts were associated with significantly lowered mortality. Despite this, seat belt wearing was low and represents one of several areas where further improvements in mortality might be realized.

摘要

背景

近期为成年人通过后排安全带法律的努力因科学文献中的巨大差距而受阻。本研究调查了与后排成年乘客死亡率相关的驾驶员、车辆、碰撞和乘客特征。

方法

使用2010年至2011年的死亡分析报告系统(FARS)来研究18岁及以上后排成年乘客的机动车乘员死亡率。在与后排乘客同侧被撞车辆的子集分析中评估侧面碰撞车辆安全评级。使用SAS GLIMMIX进行多水平逻辑回归模型分析。

结果

在7229名后排成年乘客中,2091人(28.9%)死亡。死亡率增加的多变量预测因素包括乘客年龄增长、驾驶员年龄较小、超速、被弹出、未系安全带、后部碰撞和同侧碰撞。系安全带与总死亡率降低67.0%相关。尽管如此,安全带使用率较低(48.1%),且因座位位置而异,中间座位的乘客系安全带的不到三分之一。多变量分析显示,同侧碰撞中的死亡率几乎是其他碰撞位置的三倍(优势比(OR)=2.76、2.22、3.44)。在同侧碰撞的多变量亚组分析中,右侧座位的乘客与左侧座位的乘客相比死亡率增加(52.7%对43.

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/28d9/5005621/5f1a77d05d57/40621_2015_36_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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