Connor Stephen R, Downing Julia, Marston Joan
Worldwide Hospice Palliative Care Alliance and International Children's Palliative Care Network , Fairfax Station, Virginia, USA.
International Children's Palliative Care Network , Kampala, Uganda.
J Pain Symptom Manage. 2017 Feb;53(2):171-177. doi: 10.1016/j.jpainsymman.2016.08.020. Epub 2016 Oct 17.
CONTEXT: The need for children's palliative care (CPC) globally is unknown. To understand the scope of the need and to advocate to meet it, more accurate estimates are needed. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to create an accurate global estimate of the worldwide need for CPC based on a representative sample of countries from all regions of the world and all World Bank income groups. METHODS: This work builds on previously published methods developed by the International Children's Palliative Care Network, United Nations Children's Fund, and World Health Organization and tested in three African countries. The study used a cross-sectional design with quantitative data obtained from primary and secondary data sources. Estimation of the need used prevalence data from the Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, mortality data from the World Health Organization for the specific diseases known to require CPC, and Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) data on HIV prevalence. Representative data were analyzed for 23 countries representing 59.5% of the world's population. RESULTS: The findings show estimated need for CPC ranged from almost 120 per 10,000 children in Zimbabwe to slightly more than 20 per 10,000 in the United Kingdom. Overall, among the over 21 million with conditions that will benefit annually from a palliative care approach, more than eight million need specialized CPC worldwide. CONCLUSION: The estimation of need for CPC is a critical step in meeting the needs of children with life-threatening conditions and provides a sound platform to advocate for closure of the unacceptably wide gaps in coverage.
背景:全球对儿童姑息治疗(CPC)的需求尚不清楚。为了解需求范围并倡导满足需求,需要更准确的估计。 目的:本研究的目的是基于来自世界所有地区和世界银行所有收入组的具有代表性的国家样本,对全球对CPC的需求进行准确估计。 方法:这项工作建立在国际儿童姑息治疗网络、联合国儿童基金会和世界卫生组织先前发表并在三个非洲国家进行测试的方法之上。该研究采用横断面设计,使用从主要和次要数据源获得的定量数据。需求估计使用了健康指标与评估研究所的患病率数据、世界卫生组织关于已知需要CPC的特定疾病的死亡率数据以及联合国艾滋病规划署(UNAIDS)关于艾滋病毒流行率的数据。对代表世界59.5%人口的23个国家的代表性数据进行了分析。 结果:研究结果显示,对CPC的估计需求从津巴布韦每万名儿童近120人到英国每万名儿童略多于20人不等。总体而言,在每年有超过2100万人的病情将从姑息治疗方法中受益的人群中,全球有超过800万人需要专门的CPC。 结论:对CPC需求的估计是满足危及生命儿童需求的关键一步,并为倡导缩小覆盖范围方面不可接受的巨大差距提供了一个坚实的平台。
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