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1955 - 2014年中国人间布鲁氏菌病流行病学的变化

Changing Epidemiology of Human Brucellosis, China, 1955-2014.

作者信息

Lai Shengjie, Zhou Hang, Xiong Weiyi, Gilbert Marius, Huang Zhuojie, Yu Jianxing, Yin Wenwu, Wang Liping, Chen Qiulan, Li Yu, Mu Di, Zeng Lingjia, Ren Xiang, Geng Mengjie, Zhang Zike, Cui Buyun, Li Tiefeng, Wang Dali, Li Zhongjie, Wardrop Nicola A, Tatem Andrew J, Yu Hongjie

出版信息

Emerg Infect Dis. 2017 Feb;23(2):184-194. doi: 10.3201/eid2302.151710.

Abstract

Brucellosis, a zoonotic disease, was made statutorily notifiable in China in 1955. We analyzed the incidence and spatial-temporal distribution of human brucellosis during 1955-2014 in China using notifiable surveillance data: aggregated data for 1955-2003 and individual case data for 2004-2014. A total of 513,034 brucellosis cases were recorded, of which 99.3% were reported in northern China during 1955-2014, and 69.1% (258, 462/374, 141) occurred during February-July in 1990-2014. Incidence remained high during 1955-1978 (interquartile range 0.42-1.0 cases/100,000 residents), then decreased dramatically in 1979-1994. However, brucellosis has reemerged since 1995 (interquartile range 0.11-0.23 in 1995-2003 and 1.48-2.89 in 2004-2014); the historical high occurred in 2014, and the affected area expanded from northern pastureland provinces to the adjacent grassland and agricultural areas, then to southern coastal and southwestern areas. Control strategies in China should be adjusted to account for these changes by adopting a One Health approach.

摘要

布鲁氏菌病是一种人畜共患病,1955年在中国被列为法定报告传染病。我们利用法定报告监测数据,分析了1955 - 2014年中国人间布鲁氏菌病的发病率及时空分布:1955 - 2003年的汇总数据以及2004 - 2014年的个案数据。共记录了513,034例布鲁氏菌病病例,其中99.3%是1955 - 2014年在中国北方报告的,69.1%(258,462/374,141)发生在1990 - 2014年的2月至7月。1955 - 1978年发病率一直较高(四分位间距为0.42 - 1.0例/10万居民),然后在1979 - 1994年急剧下降。然而,自1995年以来布鲁氏菌病再次出现(1995 - 2003年四分位间距为0.11 - 0.23,2004 - 2014年为1.48 - 2.89);2014年出现历史最高值,受影响地区从北方牧区省份扩展到相邻的草原和农业地区,然后扩展到南方沿海和西南地区。中国应通过采取“同一健康”方法调整控制策略,以应对这些变化。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ed78/5324817/30b2cbd1e859/15-1710-F1.jpg

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