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终结阿富汗因肺炎和腹泻导致的可预防儿童死亡:使用“挽救生命工具”对干预措施覆盖情况的分析

Ending Preventable Child Deaths from Pneumonia and Diarrhoea in Afghanistan: An Analysis of Intervention Coverage Scenarios Using the Lives Saved Tool.

作者信息

Higgins-Steele Ariel, Yousufi Khaksar, Sultana Sharmina, Ali Alawi Sayed, Varkey Sherin

机构信息

UNICEF Afghanistan Country Office, Kabul, Afghanistan.

Afghanistan Ministry of Public Health, Child and Adolescent Health Directorate, Kabul, Afghanistan.

出版信息

J Trop Med. 2017;2017:3120854. doi: 10.1155/2017/3120854. Epub 2017 Feb 19.

Abstract

. Despite improvements in child health, Afghanistan still has a heavy burden of deaths due to preventable causes: 17% of under-5 deaths are due to pneumonia and 12% are due to diarrhoea. . This article describes the situation of childhood pneumonia and diarrhoea in Afghanistan, including efforts to prevent, protect, and treat the two diseases. It estimates lives saved by scaling up interventions. . A secondary analysis of data was conducted and future scenarios were modelled to estimate lives saved by scaling up a package of interventions. . The analysis reveals that 10,795 additional child deaths could be averted with a moderate scale-up of interventions, decreasing the under-five mortality rate in Afghanistan from 55 per 1,000 live births in 2015 to 40 per 1,000 in 2020. In an ambitious scale-up scenario, an additional 15,096 lives could be saved. There would be a 71% reduction in child deaths due to these two causes between 2016 and 2020 in the ambitious scenario compared to 47% reduction in the moderate scenario. . Significant reductions in child mortality can be achieved through scale-up of essential interventions to prevent and treat pneumonia and diarrhoea. Strengthened primary health care functions and multisector collaboration on child health are suggested.

摘要

尽管儿童健康状况有所改善,但阿富汗因可预防原因导致的死亡负担仍然沉重:5岁以下儿童死亡中有17% 是由肺炎所致,12% 是由腹泻所致。本文描述了阿富汗儿童肺炎和腹泻的情况,包括预防、保护和治疗这两种疾病的努力。它估计了扩大干预措施可挽救的生命数量。对数据进行了二次分析,并对未来情况进行了建模,以估计扩大一系列干预措施可挽救的生命数量。分析表明,适度扩大干预措施可避免额外的10,795例儿童死亡,使阿富汗5岁以下儿童死亡率从2015年每1000例活产55例降至2020年每1000例40例。在一个雄心勃勃的扩大规模情景中,可额外挽救15,096条生命。与适度情景中47% 的降幅相比,在雄心勃勃的情景中,2016年至2020年期间因这两个原因导致的儿童死亡将减少71%。通过扩大预防和治疗肺炎及腹泻的基本干预措施,可以显著降低儿童死亡率。建议加强初级卫生保健功能以及在儿童健康方面的多部门合作。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/25e8/5337376/2e1e2ba4d2e2/JTM2017-3120854.001.jpg

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