Melchior Leonardo Augusto Kohara, Brilhante Andréia Fernandes, Chiaravalloti-Neto Francisco
Biological and Nature Science Center, Federal University of Acre, Rio Branco, AC, Brazil.
School of Public Health, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, Brazil.
Infect Dis Poverty. 2017 Jun 7;6(1):99. doi: 10.1186/s40249-017-0311-5.
BACKGROUND: Acre has reported the highest incidence of American cutaneous leishmaniasis (ACL) in Brazil in recent years. The present study seeks to identify high and low risk agglomerations of ACL in space and space-time during the period from 2007 to 2013 in Acre, and also to characterize the occurrence of the disease in time and according to sociodemographic variables. METHODS: This is an ecological study, the study population of which consisted of autochthonous ACL cases notified in the municipalities of Acre by an epidemiological surveillance system. Scan statistics of SaTScan™ software were used to identify spatial and space-time clusters. In addition, the cases were characterized by sex, age, home situation (in a rural or urban area), and temporal tendency. RESULTS: Acre reported an incidence rate of 12.4 cases per 10 000 inhabitant-years in the study period, with the rates varied greatly (standard deviation of 21.8) among their 22 municipalities. One agglomeration of high risk and three of low risk were detected in space and space-time. Four of the five micro-regions of Acre presented a stationary temporal tendency. The profile of transmission varied according to the micro-region. Generally speaking, the disease occurred more often among young people, those of male gender, and those living in rural areas. CONCLUSIONS: Acre has stood out within the Brazilian national context due to its high rates of ACL incidence in the central region of the Acre Valley. The high rates in the micro-region of Brasiléia are related to the disease's intra/peridomiciliary occurrence, and it would seem that the municipality of Sena Madureira is approaching a transmission pattern similar to that of Brasiléia. In other micro-regions, the profile of the disease's transmission is mainly related to the forest/sylvatic cycle of ACL.
背景:近年来,阿克里州报告了巴西美洲皮肤利什曼病(ACL)的最高发病率。本研究旨在确定2007年至2013年期间阿克里州空间和时空上ACL的高风险和低风险聚集区,并根据社会人口统计学变量及时对该疾病的发生情况进行特征描述。 方法:这是一项生态学研究,研究人群包括通过流行病学监测系统在阿克里州各市通报的本地ACL病例。使用SaTScan™软件的扫描统计方法来识别空间和时空聚集区。此外,还根据性别、年龄、家庭状况(农村或城市地区)和时间趋势对病例进行了特征描述。 结果:在研究期间,阿克里州报告的发病率为每10000居民年12.4例,其22个市的发病率差异很大(标准差为21.8)。在空间和时空上检测到一个高风险聚集区和三个低风险聚集区。阿克里州的五个微区域中有四个呈现出稳定的时间趋势。传播特征因微区域而异。一般来说,该疾病在年轻人、男性和农村地区居民中更为常见。 结论:由于阿克里河谷中部地区ACL发病率高,阿克里州在巴西全国范围内脱颖而出。巴西利亚微区域的高发病率与该疾病在家庭内/周围的发生情况有关,塞纳马杜雷拉市似乎正在接近与巴西利亚相似的传播模式。在其他微区域,该疾病的传播特征主要与ACL的森林/丛林周期有关。
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