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2
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本文引用的文献

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Uber and Metropolitan Traffic Fatalities in the United States.美国优步与大城市交通死亡事故
Am J Epidemiol. 2016 Aug 1;184(3):192-8. doi: 10.1093/aje/kww062. Epub 2016 Jul 22.
2
Judging intoxication.判断醉酒状态。
Behav Sci Law. 2011 Jan-Feb;29(1):116-37. doi: 10.1002/bsl.935. Epub 2010 May 21.
3
An on-road assessment of cognitive distraction: impacts on drivers' visual behavior and braking performance.认知分心的道路评估:对驾驶员视觉行为和制动性能的影响。
Accid Anal Prev. 2007 Mar;39(2):372-9. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2006.08.013. Epub 2006 Oct 19.
4
The development of a naturalistic data collection system to perform critical incident analysis: an investigation of safety and fatigue issues in long-haul trucking.用于进行关键事件分析的自然主义数据收集系统的开发:对长途货运中的安全与疲劳问题的调查
Accid Anal Prev. 2006 Nov;38(6):1127-36. doi: 10.1016/j.aap.2006.05.001. Epub 2006 Jun 27.
5
Factors affecting the severity of motor vehicle traffic crashes involving young drivers in Ontario.影响安大略省涉及年轻驾驶员的机动车交通事故严重程度的因素。
Inj Prev. 1997 Sep;3(3):183-9. doi: 10.1136/ip.3.3.183.
6
Association between cellular-telephone calls and motor vehicle collisions.手机通话与机动车碰撞之间的关联。
N Engl J Med. 1997 Feb 13;336(7):453-8. doi: 10.1056/NEJM199702133360701.
7
Epidemiology of road accidents involving young adults: alcohol, drugs and other factors.涉及年轻人的道路交通事故流行病学:酒精、毒品及其他因素。
Drug Alcohol Depend. 1982 Sep;10(1):35-63. doi: 10.1016/0376-8716(82)90085-0.
8
Cognitive and attitudinal factors in the analysis of alternatives to drunk driving.酒后驾驶替代方案分析中的认知和态度因素。
J Stud Alcohol. 1992 Sep;53(5):405-14. doi: 10.15288/jsa.1992.53.405.

4 个美国城市的共乘和机动车事故:一项中断时间序列分析。

Ridesharing and Motor Vehicle Crashes in 4 US Cities: An Interrupted Time-Series Analysis.

机构信息

Penn Injury Science Center, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 2018 Feb 1;187(2):224-232. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwx233.

DOI:10.1093/aje/kwx233
PMID:28633356
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6248466/
Abstract

Uber, the world's largest ridesharing company, has reportedly provided over 2 billion journeys globally since operations began in 2010; however, the impact on motor vehicle crashes is unclear. Theoretically, ridesharing could reduce alcohol-involved crashes in locations where other modes of transportation are less attractive than driving one's own vehicle while under the influence of alcohol. We conducted interrupted time-series analyses using weekly counts of injury crashes and the proportion that were alcohol-involved in 4 US cities (Las Vegas, Nevada; Reno, Nevada; Portland, Oregon; and San Antonio, Texas). We considered that a resumption of Uber operations after a temporary break would produce a more substantial change in ridership than an initial launch, so we selected cities where Uber launched, ceased, and then resumed operations (2013-2016). We hypothesized that Uber's resumption would be associated with fewer alcohol-involved crashes. Results partially supported this hypothesis. For example, in Portland, Uber's resumption was associated with a 61.8% reduction (95% confidence interval: 38.7, 86.4) in the alcohol-involved crash rate (an absolute decrease of 3.1 (95% confidence interval: 1.7, 4.4) alcohol-involved crashes per week); however, there was no concomitant change in all injury crashes. Relationships between ridesharing and motor vehicle crashes differ between cities over time and may depend on specific local characteristics.

摘要

优步(Uber)是全球最大的拼车公司,自 2010 年开始运营以来,据称已在全球提供了超过 20 亿次出行服务;然而,其对机动车事故的影响尚不清楚。从理论上讲,在其他交通方式不如自己开车喝酒有吸引力的地方,拼车可以减少涉及酒精的事故。我们在美国的 4 个城市(内华达州拉斯维加斯、内华达州里诺、俄勒冈州波特兰和德克萨斯州圣安东尼奥)进行了每周伤害事故次数和涉及酒精事故比例的中断时间序列分析。我们认为,与初始推出相比,在暂时中断后重新推出优步服务将对乘客量产生更大的变化,因此我们选择了优步推出、暂停然后重新运营的城市(2013-2016 年)。我们假设,优步的重新推出将与涉及酒精的事故减少有关。结果部分支持了这一假设。例如,在波特兰,优步的重新推出与涉及酒精的事故率降低 61.8%(95%置信区间:38.7,86.4)有关(每周绝对减少 3.1 起涉及酒精的事故(95%置信区间:1.7,4.4));然而,所有伤害事故并没有同时发生变化。随着时间的推移,拼车与机动车事故之间的关系在不同城市之间存在差异,并且可能取决于特定的地方特征。