Penn Injury Science Center, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Department of Biostatistics, Epidemiology, and Informatics, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Am J Epidemiol. 2018 Feb 1;187(2):224-232. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwx233.
Uber, the world's largest ridesharing company, has reportedly provided over 2 billion journeys globally since operations began in 2010; however, the impact on motor vehicle crashes is unclear. Theoretically, ridesharing could reduce alcohol-involved crashes in locations where other modes of transportation are less attractive than driving one's own vehicle while under the influence of alcohol. We conducted interrupted time-series analyses using weekly counts of injury crashes and the proportion that were alcohol-involved in 4 US cities (Las Vegas, Nevada; Reno, Nevada; Portland, Oregon; and San Antonio, Texas). We considered that a resumption of Uber operations after a temporary break would produce a more substantial change in ridership than an initial launch, so we selected cities where Uber launched, ceased, and then resumed operations (2013-2016). We hypothesized that Uber's resumption would be associated with fewer alcohol-involved crashes. Results partially supported this hypothesis. For example, in Portland, Uber's resumption was associated with a 61.8% reduction (95% confidence interval: 38.7, 86.4) in the alcohol-involved crash rate (an absolute decrease of 3.1 (95% confidence interval: 1.7, 4.4) alcohol-involved crashes per week); however, there was no concomitant change in all injury crashes. Relationships between ridesharing and motor vehicle crashes differ between cities over time and may depend on specific local characteristics.
优步(Uber)是全球最大的拼车公司,自 2010 年开始运营以来,据称已在全球提供了超过 20 亿次出行服务;然而,其对机动车事故的影响尚不清楚。从理论上讲,在其他交通方式不如自己开车喝酒有吸引力的地方,拼车可以减少涉及酒精的事故。我们在美国的 4 个城市(内华达州拉斯维加斯、内华达州里诺、俄勒冈州波特兰和德克萨斯州圣安东尼奥)进行了每周伤害事故次数和涉及酒精事故比例的中断时间序列分析。我们认为,与初始推出相比,在暂时中断后重新推出优步服务将对乘客量产生更大的变化,因此我们选择了优步推出、暂停然后重新运营的城市(2013-2016 年)。我们假设,优步的重新推出将与涉及酒精的事故减少有关。结果部分支持了这一假设。例如,在波特兰,优步的重新推出与涉及酒精的事故率降低 61.8%(95%置信区间:38.7,86.4)有关(每周绝对减少 3.1 起涉及酒精的事故(95%置信区间:1.7,4.4));然而,所有伤害事故并没有同时发生变化。随着时间的推移,拼车与机动车事故之间的关系在不同城市之间存在差异,并且可能取决于特定的地方特征。