迈向新一代农业系统数据、模型和知识产品:农业系统科学现状
Toward a new generation of agricultural system data, models, and knowledge products: State of agricultural systems science.
作者信息
Jones James W, Antle John M, Basso Bruno, Boote Kenneth J, Conant Richard T, Foster Ian, Godfray H Charles J, Herrero Mario, Howitt Richard E, Janssen Sander, Keating Brian A, Munoz-Carpena Rafael, Porter Cheryl H, Rosenzweig Cynthia, Wheeler Tim R
机构信息
University of Florida, Agricultural and Biological Engineering Department, Museum Road, Gainesville, FL 32611, USA.
Oregon State University, USA.
出版信息
Agric Syst. 2017 Jul;155:269-288. doi: 10.1016/j.agsy.2016.09.021.
We review the current state of agricultural systems science, focusing in particular on the capabilities and limitations of agricultural systems models. We discuss the state of models relative to five different Use Cases spanning field, farm, landscape, regional, and global spatial scales and engaging questions in past, current, and future time periods. Contributions from multiple disciplines have made major advances relevant to a wide range of agricultural system model applications at various spatial and temporal scales. Although current agricultural systems models have features that are needed for the Use Cases, we found that all of them have limitations and need to be improved. We identified common limitations across all Use Cases, namely 1) a scarcity of data for developing, evaluating, and applying agricultural system models and 2) inadequate knowledge systems that effectively communicate model results to society. We argue that these limitations are greater obstacles to progress than gaps in conceptual theory or available methods for using system models. New initiatives on open data show promise for addressing the data problem, but there also needs to be a cultural change among agricultural researchers to ensure that data for addressing the range of Use Cases are available for future model improvements and applications. We conclude that multiple platforms and multiple models are needed for model applications for different purposes. The Use Cases provide a useful framework for considering capabilities and limitations of existing models and data.
我们回顾了农业系统科学的现状,尤其关注农业系统模型的能力和局限性。我们讨论了模型相对于五个不同用例的状况,这些用例跨越了田间、农场、景观、区域和全球空间尺度,并涉及过去、当前和未来时间段的问题。多学科的贡献在各种空间和时间尺度上推动了与广泛的农业系统模型应用相关的重大进展。尽管当前的农业系统模型具备用例所需的特征,但我们发现它们都存在局限性,需要改进。我们识别出了所有用例中的共同局限性,即1)用于开发、评估和应用农业系统模型的数据稀缺,以及2)知识系统不足,无法有效地将模型结果传达给社会。我们认为,这些局限性对进展的阻碍比概念理论或使用系统模型的现有方法中的差距更大。开放数据方面的新举措有望解决数据问题,但农业研究人员也需要进行文化变革,以确保用于解决各种用例的数据可用于未来模型的改进和应用。我们得出结论,不同目的的模型应用需要多个平台和多个模型。这些用例为考量现有模型和数据的能力及局限性提供了一个有用的框架。